TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

South Florida Bulls vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Florida Bullsof South Florida Bulls, Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane16c5,265$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.312,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed South Florida Bulls80c2,113$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.715861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed South Florida Bulls64c903$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane21c869.03$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.151,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane21c796$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1849747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane27c436.02$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7173549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed South Florida Bulls44c395.67$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.52,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane28c360$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.41,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane29c357.66$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.973,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked South Florida Bulls41c284.97$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.1352928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane15c271.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed South Florida Bulls41c242.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1821050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed South Florida Bulls42c237.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9312733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed South Florida Bulls45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11082048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f29…9d73backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1128253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202020%4 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane55c175$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed South Florida Bulls70c122.72$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.531,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked South Florida Bulls61c121$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.751,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane58c87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5218147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed South Florida Bulls42c64.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7342327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Florida Bulls40c60.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed South Florida Bulls44c48.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.245440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed South Florida Bulls41c42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.682,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed South Florida Bulls41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.61,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef2…6e74backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.220254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane49c30.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.934,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane65c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.422050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0f…1132backed South Florida Bulls76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.322382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.751,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked South Florida Bulls78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4935050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.