Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Wright State Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b2c0eb06da0627928aea7251c2b4378aa33d235909168c518d6efdfd4dc88e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wright State Raidersof Eastern Michigan Eagles, Wright State Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 14c | 4,328$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.53 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Wright State Raiders | 77c | 2,344$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.77 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Wright State Raiders | 78c | 1,008$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.52 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 22c | 952.3$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 22c | 785$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 27c | 771.92$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.85 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wright State Raiders | 79c | 666.53$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wright State Raiders | 75c | 533.7$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 23c | 511.68$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 21c | 472.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wright State Raiders | 73c | 458.94$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 23c | 458.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 24c | 373.94$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 23c | 281.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…3edcbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 29c | 262.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Wright State Raiders | 75c | 219.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 21c | 195.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wright State Raiders | 76c | 191.96$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 13c | 164$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 22c | 152.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 28c | 117.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 18c | 111.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3b…182fbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…3555backed Wright State Raiders | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 25c | 96.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 17c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 31c | 86.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 23c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 30c | 65.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 21c | 63.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 26c | 58.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Wright State Raiders | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Wright State Raiders | 76c | 30.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed Wright State Raiders | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Wright State Raiders | 78c | 19.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Wright State Raiders | 77c | 14.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.