TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Golden Gophersof Iowa Hawkeyes, Minnesota Golden Gophers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,561 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1f4…544cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes70c20,000$13,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,977.985248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Iowa Hawkeyes36c8,465$3,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,038.474252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Iowa Hawkeyes41c7,161$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,931.7746446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Iowa Hawkeyes71c6,573$4,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,666.5524351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Golden Gophers54c5,817$3,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.913,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Minnesota Golden Gophers71c3,765$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.6955657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers32c3,575$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.24,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Iowa Hawkeyes69c3,431$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.182,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Iowa Hawkeyes59c2,718$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.7669142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers57c2,601$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.765,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers31c2,403$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.071,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Iowa Hawkeyes69c2,330$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.582,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Golden Gophers35c2,237$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4655,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Minnesota Golden Gophers31c2,149$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.812454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18015356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes26c1,813$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.4214021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers30c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05020026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Golden Gophers29c1,497$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.8724451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers31c1,472$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.4281453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Iowa Hawkeyes31c1,295$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.161,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Iowa Hawkeyes43c1,131$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.412,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Iowa Hawkeyes41c854.26$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.6173549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes39c841.12$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.451,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers29c777.5$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.031,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Minnesota Golden Gophers30c633.52$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.1242327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes4c542.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.943993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Iowa Hawkeyes40c501.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3552,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ac…ef52backed Iowa Hawkeyes45c448.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Iowa Hawkeyes69c443.3$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.881,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Iowa Hawkeyes59c428.57$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.8615861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Minnesota Golden Gophers42c319.59$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.432,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes32c282.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.041,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce0d…3a64backed Iowa Hawkeyes55c270.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Minnesota Golden Gophers55c262.31$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.612642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Iowa Hawkeyes39c238.05$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1845644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Iowa Hawkeyes30c230.22$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.121,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Iowa Hawkeyes32c230.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.651,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes29c210.92$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.921,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c209.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1361,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Iowa Hawkeyes20c181.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.142,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers31c171.33$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2952928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes19c161.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0132343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Minnesota Golden Gophers32c155.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.911936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Iowa Hawkeyes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.58814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Iowa Hawkeyes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ee…5cf0backed Iowa Hawkeyes28c135$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.92853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x892f…820ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Iowa Hawkeyes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7134649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed Iowa Hawkeyes11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…8332backed Iowa Hawkeyes71c87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Minnesota Golden Gophers45c68.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.843,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Minnesota Golden Gophers72c59.21$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6720051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Iowa Hawkeyes44c59.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2236845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Iowa Hawkeyes70c55.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1153646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Minnesota Golden Gophers74c55.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1919055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Minnesota Golden Gophers72c51.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1349043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed Iowa Hawkeyes69c47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.434667.4%31 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b6f…f3b7backed Minnesota Golden Gophers33c46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3298…d8c1backed Minnesota Golden Gophers33c41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Iowa Hawkeyes70c39.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.733,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c33.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa Hawkeyes69c33.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.771,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5f…4884backed Iowa Hawkeyes40c32.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.124360.5%26 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0f…1132backed Minnesota Golden Gophers65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed Iowa Hawkeyes45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.252740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Iowa Hawkeyes52c24.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9811743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Iowa Hawkeyes59c23.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x648c…c77ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes56c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.94850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…25bfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers69c22.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef5e…4c1dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes69c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.