Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28e317639c523e5c3117d81324e29b3e023a6a5c51b7da5ca3392c5ab8691f8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Golden Gophersof Iowa Hawkeyes, Minnesota Golden Gophers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 50c | 74,076$37,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,038.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 26,339$13,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,169.5 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 18,533$9,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,266.44 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 13,126$6,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,563.1 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 6,060$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 3,066$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.32 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 2,177$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 2c | 1,548$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 790$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.9 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…dd43backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 421.75$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 96.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…6a1dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 57.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-5.5)this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota Golden Gophers won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 131.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 132.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.