NHL · resolved market
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Belleville Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c83e881697150e381bbb40666fea429698d1bfdd129b9b90f5504394eda933a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laval Rocketof Laval Rocket, Belleville Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc472…bfb9backed Belleville Senators | 38c | 1,922$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…b7cfbacked Belleville Senators | 38c | 1,665$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…a023backed Belleville Senators | 39c | 1,336$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…694dbacked Belleville Senators | 39c | 1,132$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…94abbacked Laval Rocket | 62c | 1,126$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…9913backed Laval Rocket | 62c | 1,102$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…48bdbacked Belleville Senators | 39c | 993$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…5983backed Belleville Senators | 38c | 844$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…5c4fbacked Belleville Senators | 38c | 841$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…78abbacked Belleville Senators | 38c | 826$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1f…22b0backed Laval Rocket | 62c | 796$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…8401backed Belleville Senators | 39c | 780$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…de5bbacked Laval Rocket | 61c | 772$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +129%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c6…5791backed Belleville Senators | 38c | 757$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4f…9339backed Laval Rocket | 61c | 699$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…3154backed Belleville Senators | 39c | 694$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…2a82backed Laval Rocket | 62c | 661$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…c374backed Laval Rocket | 61c | 640$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…3363backed Laval Rocket | 62c | 598$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…f8d1backed Belleville Senators | 39c | 570$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…19c4backed Laval Rocket | 61c | 564$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…612ebacked Belleville Senators | 38c | 550$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa7…cf57backed Laval Rocket | 62c | 546.85$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…99e4backed Laval Rocket | 62c | 494$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…1582backed Laval Rocket | 62c | 493$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…f5e6backed Laval Rocket | 61c | 492$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd03…a537backed Laval Rocket | 62c | 446$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432c…17debacked Laval Rocket | 61c | 410$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840f…95a9backed Laval Rocket | 61c | 395$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502f…efaabacked Laval Rocket | 61c | 370$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…4b3ebacked Laval Rocket | 62c | 350$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…85cebacked Laval Rocket | 62c | 348$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd336…cecebacked Laval Rocket | 62c | 311$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…ebe9backed Laval Rocket | 61c | 303$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…7494backed Laval Rocket | 61c | 299$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…fdb2backed Laval Rocket | 61c | 294$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9098…8114backed Belleville Senators | 38c | 283$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…5e64backed Laval Rocket | 61c | 267$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa751…ba09backed Laval Rocket | 62c | 235$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…b7b5backed Laval Rocket | 62c | 165$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked Laval Rocket | 62c | 98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Belleville Senators | 40c | 87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Laval Rocket | 60c | 76.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Belleville Senators | 39c | 72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…ace1backed Belleville Senators | 40c | 58.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Belleville Senators | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Belleville Senators | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Belleville Senators | 38c | 48.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Belleville Senators | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Laval Rocket | 57c | 33.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed Laval Rocket | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Laval Rocket | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Laval Rocket | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Laval Rocket | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.