Cricket · resolved market
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9693b1169b3ef7e13c0e21070addfa85dd8adf760fcf63fd5e5da49c3f821a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pretoria Capitalsof MI Cape Town, Pretoria Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dea…3792backed MI Cape Town | 75c | 2,348$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.52 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Pretoria Capitals | 35c | 1,550$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Pretoria Capitals | 70c | 1,541$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.16 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Pretoria Capitals | 68c | 1,059$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.99 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MI Cape Town | 4c | 1,008$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Pretoria Capitals | 50c | 926$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.47 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked MI Cape Town | 50c | 903$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.5 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Pretoria Capitals | 32c | 779.42$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.49 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Pretoria Capitals | 34c | 744.12$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.12 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed MI Cape Town | 45c | 648.29$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.54 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Pretoria Capitals | 33c | 554.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.84 | 329 | 46.2%152 W · 177 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked MI Cape Town | 27c | 395.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Pretoria Capitals | 35c | 386.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.13 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed MI Cape Town | 49c | 359.46$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed MI Cape Town | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Pretoria Capitals | 47c | 287.19$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…69cabacked MI Cape Town | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked MI Cape Town | 24c | 248.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Pretoria Capitals | 38c | 220$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Pretoria Capitals | 41c | 192.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…b2b0backed MI Cape Town | 24c | 185$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked MI Cape Town | 27c | 174.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…1209backed MI Cape Town | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1f…0f50backed MI Cape Town | 34c | 153.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed MI Cape Town | 39c | 150.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked MI Cape Town | 73c | 150.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…fcc4backed MI Cape Town | 37c | 135.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed MI Cape Town | 15c | 135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Pretoria Capitals | 71c | 127.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Pretoria Capitals | 46c | 116.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed MI Cape Town | 65c | 113.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…8a30backed MI Cape Town | 37c | 110.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked MI Cape Town | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…27f8backed MI Cape Town | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…6951backed MI Cape Town | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed MI Cape Town | 39c | 98.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MI Cape Town | 62c | 90.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…7f29backed Pretoria Capitals | 36c | 83.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…b1e6backed MI Cape Town | 39c | 80.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -76%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb99f…f99fbacked MI Cape Town | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…1179backed MI Cape Town | 65c | 58.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed MI Cape Town | 57c | 52.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed MI Cape Town | 68c | 51.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 202 | 62.9%127 W · 75 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Pretoria Capitals | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed MI Cape Town | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…ae37backed MI Cape Town | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Pretoria Capitals | 34c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…a376backed MI Cape Town | 30c | 34.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a7…df67backed MI Cape Town | 64c | 33.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed MI Cape Town | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…e5ccbacked MI Cape Town | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pretoria Capitals | 40c | 28.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Pretoria Capitals | 60c | 21.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…5fb5backed MI Cape Town | 51c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.