Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Xavier Musketeers vs. Seton Hall Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09fb3da5d9fcc9756d0387aa46faa29abb6563a183e45e38237f33ef2d8928b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seton Hall Piratesof Xavier Musketeers, Seton Hall Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Seton Hall Pirates | 75c | 9,314$7,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.26 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Xavier Musketeers | 31c | 5,679$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.46 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…53e6backed Xavier Musketeers | 12c | 2,970$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 71c | 1,800$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 67c | 1,418$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.43 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Xavier Musketeers | 31c | 1,298$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.53 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xavier Musketeers | 25c | 1,250$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 69c | 1,081$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Xavier Musketeers | 28c | 953$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.84 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 37c | 951.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.78 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Xavier Musketeers | 17c | 869.65$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Xavier Musketeers | 58c | 809.4$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seton Hall Pirates | 62c | 772.68$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 651.65$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Xavier Musketeers | 45c | 637.53$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.63 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 564.97$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.97 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Xavier Musketeers | 25c | 468.46$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Seton Hall Pirates | 67c | 449.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 69c | 403$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.21 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.47 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Xavier Musketeers | 31c | 292.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Xavier Musketeers | 32c | 281.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Seton Hall Pirates | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Xavier Musketeers | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Xavier Musketeers | 27c | 137.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Seton Hall Pirates | 35c | 127.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 40c | 122$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Xavier Musketeers | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Xavier Musketeers | 29c | 99.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…5a89backed Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Xavier Musketeers | 32c | 81.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 63c | 75.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Xavier Musketeers | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Xavier Musketeers | 51c | 66.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Seton Hall Pirates | 62c | 64.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Seton Hall Pirates | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2e…78b1backed Seton Hall Pirates | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 29c | 59.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xavier Musketeers | 48c | 49.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 70c | 46.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Xavier Musketeers | 35c | 45.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 42.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed Seton Hall Pirates | 46c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Xavier Musketeers | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Seton Hall Pirates | 65c | 36.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2af…4e5bbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 30c | 34.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Seton Hall Pirates | 43c | 33.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Seton Hall Pirates | 47c | 33.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed Xavier Musketeers | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seton Hall Pirates | 39c | 25.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seton Hall Pirates | 73c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25f…c7a1backed Seton Hall Pirates | 71c | 24.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Seton Hall Pirates | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Xavier Musketeers | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Xavier Musketeers | 66c | 17.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6d…1193backed Seton Hall Pirates | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a71…4f0fbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Seton Hall Piratesthis page
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-6.5)Seton Hall Pirates won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 144.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.