Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Oklahoma Sooners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32fef153291ca2c00e5c1c7bcafc157728f11909e3caf05c6d604d9620c51c90

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Oklahoma Soonersof Oklahoma State Cowboys, Oklahoma Sooners
Resolved: Dec 13, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,310 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	47c	10,239$4,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,856.84	116	62.1%72 W · 44 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Oklahoma Sooners	61c	5,695$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,195.33	351	51.9%182 W · 169 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Oklahoma Sooners	52c	5,180$2,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,503.57	1,420	43.9%623 W · 797 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc97…58a6backed Oklahoma Sooners	56c	3,996$2,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,771.29	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	39c	3,653$1,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,414.34	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	38c	3,617$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,359.88	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	43c	2,593$1,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,118.05	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oklahoma Sooners	77c	2,034$1,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.54	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x282c…0313backed Oklahoma Sooners	76c	1,989$1,503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dba…c816backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	29c	1,828$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.29	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	30cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Oklahoma Sooners	57c	1,323$757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.88	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+3.9wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oklahoma Sooners	56c	1,107$621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.39	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oklahoma Sooners	53c	1,092$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.68	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0588…e739backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	5c	779.23$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Oklahoma Sooners	62c	698.68$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.81	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Oklahoma Sooners	62c	682.46$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.92	771	42.3%326 W · 445 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Oklahoma Sooners	69c	665.39$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.57	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	43c	660.54$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.03	163	41.7%68 W · 95 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	43c	657.39$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.11	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-29%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	45c	510$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.5	1,391	44.1%613 W · 778 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	43	72.1%31 W · 12 L	+6.6wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	43c	440$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.2	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	12c	426$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.87	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x014d…144cbacked Oklahoma Sooners	60c	425$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	37c	393.63$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.34	100	37%37 W · 63 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Oklahoma Sooners	60c	385$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154	334	38.9%130 W · 204 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda49…152ebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	42c	300$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	9c	250$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	191	53.9%103 W · 88 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	44c	249.8$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.91	294	44.6%131 W · 163 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	34c	241.27$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.67	97	29.9%29 W · 68 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oklahoma Sooners	58c	208.8$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.08	1,540	41.3%636 W · 904 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Oklahoma Sooners	78c	205.15$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.91	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	-14.7wins	-0.14per pick	61cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	42c	200$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	1,260	43.3%545 W · 715 L	+34.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oklahoma Sooners	53c	179.77$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.31	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	40c	171.11$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.44	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	43c	151.67$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.67	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	42c	150$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Oklahoma Sooners	55c	150$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.5	154	42.9%66 W · 88 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	78	64.1%50 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf2…24d7backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	29c	145.43$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.43	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Oklahoma Sooners	70c	140.59$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.8	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a52…9ad6backed Oklahoma Sooners	59c	101.69$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.69	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	643	22.9%147 W · 496 L	-17.1wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200e…7d37backed Oklahoma Sooners	74c	98$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.93	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	44c	94.39$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.45	1,173	25.2%296 W · 877 L	-43.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	45c	89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.05	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac6c…a297backed Oklahoma Sooners	58c	85$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.7	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Oklahoma Sooners	59c	84.51$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.01	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	23c	75.23$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	735	49.1%361 W · 374 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Oklahoma Sooners	59c	71$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.11	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c64…0e91backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	16c	63.75$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c9…bacfbacked Oklahoma Sooners	78c	49.11$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.73	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	46c	47$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.76	456	44.5%203 W · 253 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58a0…d7cabacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oklahoma Sooners	58c	43.93$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.36	556	57.4%319 W · 237 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Oklahoma State Cowboys	30c	40.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.34	196	41.8%82 W · 114 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	40c	35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	254	38.2%97 W · 157 L	-14.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	33c	34.96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.54	85	18.8%16 W · 69 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf90c…f49cbacked Oklahoma Sooners	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	66cpaid	-31%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed8d…a20dbacked Oklahoma Sooners	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Oklahoma Sooners	77c	23$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.29	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x691b…d267backed Oklahoma Sooners	68c	22.96$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.44	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+48%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb3…5fe5backed Oklahoma Sooners	53c	20.12$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.39	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0679…e5aabacked Oklahoma State Cowboys	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fb2…f12bbacked Oklahoma Sooners	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Oklahoma Soonersthis page
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Oklahoma Sooners: O/U 165.5Under won
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-2.5)Oklahoma Sooners won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Oklahoma Sooners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event