Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05e39fa25afbe89319a4d9ec5fba51b91644a45df934542155b10be3f0803647
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 2,911$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.06 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 2,727$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.74 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 1,612$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.78 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 24c | 925$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 6c | 723.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 649.07$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.78 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 33c | 417.16$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…8c47backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 76c | 392$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 58c | 219.54$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 78c | 189$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…0e91backed Yes | 15c | 183.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 170$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 24c | 141.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 126$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…05c8backed Yes | 23c | 107$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 106$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…3057backed No | 49c | 73.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 57.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 77c | 46.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 51c | 41.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 77c | 24.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fa…bd81backed No | 79c | 16.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…7e3fbacked No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.