Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a40745a91fcee1def70f87462438a8168087747d6cb0b83ff35f4795626b608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 2,167$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.91 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes | 26c | 1,417$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 1,045$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 888$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes | 19c | 583.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 24c | 153.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 18c | 72.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…b046backed Yes | 25c | 48.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 75c | 48.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 45.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 25.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fa…bd81backed No | 76c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?this page
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.