CS2 · resolved market
Valorant: RRQ vs FNC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2876eb6954150facd0cf3e1f5c5567e4408a67de970fe767e4a0b8e1d52c7378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FNCof RRQ, FNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed RRQ | 29c | 2,874$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.35 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed FNC | 67c | 2,002$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.53 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x508a…535ebacked FNC | 69c | 1,459$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed RRQ | 32c | 1,447$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.12 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed FNC | 72c | 1,206$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.58 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked RRQ | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked RRQ | 32c | 599.33$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.65 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed FNC | 68c | 589.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked RRQ | 37c | 545.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked RRQ | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed RRQ | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked RRQ | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed RRQ | 14c | 223.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed RRQ | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked FNC | 65c | 190.91$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed FNC | 69c | 145.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9d…dc0ebacked RRQ | 39c | 111.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked RRQ | 32c | 111$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed RRQ | 36c | 110.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed FNC | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked RRQ | 34c | 74.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72a…4121backed RRQ | 20c | 72.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked RRQ | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…ca19backed FNC | 67c | 44.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…f629backed FNC | 67c | 44.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked RRQ | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked FNC | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed RRQ | 38c | 28.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked FNC | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.