CS2 · resolved market
Valorant: BLG vs RRQ
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b648aaa0d3d126b5ab68c0ab16b1ad753fa2b059906cd6a23f0f7bbbf949399
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RRQof BLG, RRQ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed BLG | 27c | 1,827$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.54 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked BLG | 42c | 1,372$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.63 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed BLG | 40c | 1,154$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.68 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed RRQ | 80c | 816.19$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.79 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed RRQ | 25c | 700$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53dc…33aabacked RRQ | 60c | 543.9$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked RRQ | 26c | 400$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked RRQ | 43c | 347.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.81 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed RRQ | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed BLG | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed RRQ | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked BLG | 42c | 172.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked RRQ | 56c | 169.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked RRQ | 60c | 168.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked RRQ | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked BLG | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked RRQ | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked BLG | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed RRQ | 53c | 29.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.