Tennis · resolved market
China Open: Linda Noskova vs Qinwen Zheng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb72b507f0f4cd40c6ddee347b907d2ae829e5e4e5924092d2ded5d54f0f01555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noskovaof Noskova, Zheng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Zheng | 30c | 10,500$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.03 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Noskova | 58c | 9,205$5,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.75 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Zheng | 45c | 8,926$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.56 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zheng | 48c | 6,034$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.9 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Noskova | 45c | 5,061$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.02 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Zheng | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Noskova | 53c | 4,824$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.5 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Noskova | 57c | 4,656$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Noskova | 53c | 2,024$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.68 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Zheng | 49c | 1,523$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.79 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Noskova | 45c | 1,229$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.8 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Noskova | 64c | 1,087$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.05 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Zheng | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Noskova | 54c | 970$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.84 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Noskova | 46c | 630.97$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.63 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Noskova | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Noskova | 47c | 447$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.91 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Noskova | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Zheng | 16c | 350$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Zheng | 53c | 282$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Zheng | 30c | 267.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Noskova | 58c | 267.24$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Zheng | 60c | 241.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Zheng | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Zheng | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…bb33backed Zheng | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 74cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Noskova | 57c | 180.14$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Zheng | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Zheng | 41c | 175.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Zheng | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…0684backed Zheng | 54c | 117$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Zheng | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Noskova | 79c | 87.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed Zheng | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…3eeebacked Zheng | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Zheng | 55c | 63.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed Zheng | 61c | 56.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Zheng | 61c | 55.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Zheng | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…6d5bbacked Zheng | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…10cabacked Zheng | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Noskova | 46c | 27.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Noskova | 45c | 27.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Noskova | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.