CS2 · resolved market
LoL: 100 vs RED
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d80bf3a755e33134a93c0875d4460938b4e1bf9486a1ed4fdda133bf7366725
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100of 100, RED
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed RED | 0c | 8,947$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RED | 4c | 5,868$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.62 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed 100 | 78c | 1,643$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed RED | 9c | 1,151$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed RED | 15c | 665.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked RED | 10c | 607.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed RED | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked RED | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed RED | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed RED | 4c | 449.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked RED | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked RED | 16c | 279.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed RED | 13c | 247$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…7d1abacked RED | 14c | 170$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed RED | 23c | 151.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked RED | 21c | 135.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed 100 | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed 100 | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked RED | 26c | 76.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked 100 | 74c | 67.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…6305backed 100 | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed 100 | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 113 | 69%78 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed 100 | 77c | 40.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2e56backed 100 | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed 100 | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 388 | 39.4%153 W · 235 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.