NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c15e9a81b470b40b2975f202b46027ff92cc25c5078b90273701ed19136b3db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $689,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $744,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Thunder | 8c | 78,830$6,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,552.97 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Mavericks | 63c | 71,274$45,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,208.66 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…9b1cbacked Thunder | 53c | 69,864$37,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,173.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Mavericks | 45c | 44,854$20,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,669.9 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks | 55c | 34,012$18,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,365.89 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Thunder | 42c | 23,948$10,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,035.67 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 35c | 21,395$7,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,586.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 49c | 13,102$6,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,402.08 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Thunder | 9c | 11,395$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.8 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Mavericks | 15c | 7,789$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,621.08 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mavericks | 15c | 6,225$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,263.69 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Mavericks | 80c | 6,057$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.77 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Thunder | 36c | 5,039$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.24 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Thunder | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Mavericks | 17c | 4,748$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.99 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Thunder | 45c | 4,370$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.06 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 42c | 4,285$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 14c | 4,205$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.2 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 76c | 4,112$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.17 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Mavericks | 15c | 3,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks | 15c | 3,331$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.61 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks | 13c | 3,105$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Mavericks | 13c | 2,540$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.78 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…755dbacked Mavericks | 55c | 2,497$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.64 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Mavericks | 16c | 2,330$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.29 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Thunder | 41c | 2,111$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.43 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Mavericks | 55c | 2,107$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.91 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Thunder | 1c | 2,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 39c | 2,044$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.73 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…e0f6backed Mavericks | 70c | 2,036$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +184.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Mavericks | 55c | 1,853$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 37c | 1,721$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.37 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Mavericks | 57c | 1,703$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.17 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…2d23backed Mavericks | 16c | 1,649$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Mavericks | 30c | 1,548$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Mavericks | 24c | 1,519$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.86 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Thunder | 1c | 1,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,480$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Mavericks | 61c | 1,400$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Mavericks | 14c | 1,395$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.57 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Mavericks | 27c | 1,390$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.88 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Mavericks | 73c | 1,365$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.33 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Thunder | 8c | 1,323$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks | 17c | 1,302$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.19 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…80dabacked Mavericks | 15c | 1,284$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.17 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa412…5230backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,270$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks | 17c | 1,194$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.2 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,161$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.2 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Mavericks | 15c | 1,091$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.29 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Mavericks | 13c | 1,035$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Thunder | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed Thunder | 37c | 977.24$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks | 12c | 920.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.04 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Thunder | 19c | 899.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mavericks | 74c | 884.61$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Mavericks | 23c | 878.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.86 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…6864backed Thunder | 70c | 830.42$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.42 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Thunder | 73c | 827.47$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…b156backed Mavericks | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +87%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Thunder | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…975abacked Mavericks | 14c | 741.74$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +382.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mavericks | 14c | 727.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.96 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Mavericks | 57c | 699.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Mavericks | 74c | 677.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.98 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Thunder | 50c | 635.78$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.89 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Mavericks | 74c | 630.54$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.64 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Mavericks | 14c | 599.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.93 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Mavericks | 27c | 583.38$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Thunder | 42c | 551.63$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…a5e5backed Mavericks | 47c | 548.78$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…cefebacked Mavericks | 76c | 466.26$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…025bbacked Mavericks | 18c | 454.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mavericks | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Mavericks | 71c | 403.16$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Mavericks | 14c | 400$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Thunder | 12c | 400$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…1046backed Thunder | 49c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks | 13c | 399.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.97 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Mavericks | 13c | 381.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.52 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mavericks | 14c | 366.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.41 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Thunder | 6c | 366$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Thunder | 41c | 362.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 14c | 356$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.16 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489a…bcdebacked Mavericks | 17c | 353.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b67…584fbacked Mavericks | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.94 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d9…999fbacked Mavericks | 15c | 345.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Thunder | 45c | 332.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…b753backed Mavericks | 14c | 328$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.08 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa950…1a8abacked Thunder | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Thunder | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Thunder | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Mavericks | 15c | 299.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.12 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…042bbacked Mavericks | 15c | 286.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.68 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Thunder | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…a915backed Thunder | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f09…6ed9backed Thunder | 45c | 280.46$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.