NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89b254a067530b23211eb833eae44dec3079055394d47da85f6c50017351fd46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Jazz, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $539,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb396…fbc0backed Jazz | 0c | 25,753$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Jazz | 8c | 20,787$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.79 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Jazz | 6c | 20,607$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.42 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…5b19backed Jazz | 0c | 20,099$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 14c | 19,380$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Jazz | 9c | 18,917$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.33 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz | 6c | 16,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz | 15c | 13,291$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.09 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Jazz | 9c | 10,787$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.84 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…dc72backed Jazz | 1c | 6,111$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz | 6c | 5,850$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.02 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Jazz | 7c | 5,803$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.18 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 9c | 5,100$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz | 13c | 4,839$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.58 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Jazz | 9c | 4,251$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.6 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Jazz | 7c | 4,100$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz | 7c | 4,100$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Thunder | 79c | 4,066$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.41 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz | 7c | 3,354$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.31 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…755dbacked Jazz | 22c | 3,238$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.55 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Jazz | 8c | 3,168$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.9 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…7553backed Jazz | 6c | 2,661$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked Jazz | 8c | 2,618$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.45 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jazz | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Jazz | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz | 7c | 2,375$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.28 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Jazz | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Jazz | 1c | 1,750$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jazz | 14c | 1,564$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.54 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Jazz | 12c | 1,530$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz | 8c | 1,502$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Jazz | 7c | 1,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Jazz | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Jazz | 8c | 1,454$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz | 11c | 1,438$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.21 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Jazz | 4c | 1,418$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz | 2c | 1,400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…b327backed Jazz | 8c | 1,400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Jazz | 8c | 1,375$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Jazz | 12c | 1,303$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde78…7a53backed Jazz | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz | 5c | 1,113$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz | 11c | 1,106$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Jazz | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Jazz | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jazz | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Jazz | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…4684backed Jazz | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Jazz | 7c | 999.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Jazz | 3c | 933.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8b…226fbacked Jazz | 7c | 930$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 10c | 928.79$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…15d8backed Jazz | 6c | 850.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Jazz | 15c | 840.39$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Jazz | 8c | 832.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz | 13c | 800$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…95a3backed Jazz | 15c | 750.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Jazz | 8c | 678.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz | 8c | 668.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Jazz | 7c | 643$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jazz | 7c | 617.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…f545backed Jazz | 7c | 600.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Jazz | 8c | 583.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…62f0backed Jazz | 7c | 528.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Jazz | 10c | 500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Jazz | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Jazz | 18c | 495.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00a…303ebacked Jazz | 7c | 440.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Thunder | 80c | 407.5$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jazz | 6c | 376.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…2a3abacked Jazz | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…699dbacked Jazz | 13c | 338.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz | 7c | 335.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jazz | 11c | 327.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Jazz | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b7…1b8ebacked Jazz | 8c | 300.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Jazz | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…7eb0backed Jazz | 6c | 294.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…00f0backed Jazz | 7c | 285.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Jazz | 7c | 271.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 80c | 269.09$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Jazz | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz | 7c | 249.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Jazz | 9c | 222.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f3…a7dbbacked Jazz | 6c | 217.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Jazz | 15c | 200.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bee…4f33backed Jazz | 7c | 200.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Jazz | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Jazz | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Jazz | 6c | 199.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…e568backed Jazz | 7c | 196.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Jazz | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d3aabacked Jazz | 7c | 179.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…fdc3backed Jazz | 7c | 178.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…7a8bbacked Jazz | 9c | 144.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Jazz | 7c | 142.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Jazz | 7c | 140.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.