TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks43c20,919$8,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,903.33,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Raptors78c6,206$4,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.7247656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hawks0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Raptors33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,35072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Raptors79c4,000$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86013950.4%70 W · 69 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe740…1ae1backed Hawks62c2,730$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+101.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors43c1,853$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.735,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Hawks22c1,759$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.5134532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeee…35fbbacked Raptors30c1,700$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.241533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Hawks66c1,553$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.5636057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors40c1,405$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.7550245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6d87backed Hawks69c1,374$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.033748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks24c1,310$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Hawks80c1,238$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Raptors35c1,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Hawks67c1,200$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80436843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfab7…953abacked Raptors33c1,200$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.494632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Raptors38c1,168$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.426622.7%15 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Raptors35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65048137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Hawks71c995$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.915763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hawks69c993.68$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.241,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Hawks64c989.63$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.3637448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17c9…ee76backed Hawks68c969.76$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.05650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…09d9backed Raptors38c943.38$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.381457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Hawks64c871.28$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9617047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Raptors38c847.33$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.41,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks60c803.78$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.551,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Raptors35c782$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.330440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Hawks50c765.26$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.162458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Raptors35c723.08$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.0838132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Raptors23c722.23$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.3425957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b08…c73dbacked Raptors37c624.26$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+104.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f3b3backed Hawks63c624.26$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.28850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Hawks16c619.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2947535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Hawks66c618$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.8811662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Hawks49c612.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0721338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4072…6b04backed Raptors79c586.59$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6102…3af3backed Raptors55c583.77$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.872147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors71c505.64$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2645135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Raptors35c502.73$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.0947948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors40c500$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4469…cefebacked Hawks10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504042.5%17 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf691…c596backed Hawks70c481.92$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.982955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks63c341$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Hawks42c317.85$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7218632.8%61 W · 125 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Raptors37c306.12$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5388053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Hawks65c300.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6412663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Raptors52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14485449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Raptors33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20161532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Hawks62c299.96$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9850453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Raptors37c295.59$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2210643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Raptors34c286.92$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3727631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Raptors35c285.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7263445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks61c270.18$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Hawks55c260$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14231935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Raptors39c257.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5733638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Raptors39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4130354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Raptors42c250$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14429661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76d1…72b5backed Hawks63c205.56$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.53050%15 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78bf…cecfbacked Raptors70c200.47$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed Hawks65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13028651.4%147 W · 139 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks64c200$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hawks62c199.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hawks63c199.96$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.971,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…28c2backed Hawks29c196.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks48c195.02$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.191,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdcd…b751backed Raptors71c177.34$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.435100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Hawks60c167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.27436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hawks61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa787…5d81backed Raptors62c160.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.64785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors37c153.4$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6475347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Raptors53c151.36$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3626934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7679…8c3abacked Hawks20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011849.2%58 W · 60 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Raptors35c149.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1822846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b30…6a04backed Raptors35c145.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.83580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+104.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ed…7aeabacked Raptors78c140.28$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8616341.7%68 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3785…5c5fbacked Raptors36c138.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6313146.6%61 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Hawks63c135.38$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857150.7%36 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Hawks64c121.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.530648.7%149 W · 157 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7b…447dbacked Hawks61c106.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb43…adc0backed Raptors33c106$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.021050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7f…8995backed Raptors38c105.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.869451.1%48 W · 46 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d24…c2bfbacked Raptors38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2614749.7%73 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b6a…81d6backed Raptors35c105$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.251154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd220…0c5cbacked Raptors35c105$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+80.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc647…efa0backed Hawks66c105$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.31346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4679…cd40backed Hawks66c103$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Hawks40c102.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7311249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x526d…73f1backed Raptors38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6213844.9%62 W · 76 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Raptors78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0517464.9%113 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed Hawks74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7415942.8%68 W · 91 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked Hawks36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09a9…dd6abacked Raptors20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8258…ae68backed Hawks66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Raptors37c99.96$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.974151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5930…f3fdbacked Raptors32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.754344.2%19 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35ef…b238backed Raptors35c88.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5713343.6%58 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…a688backed Raptors38c84.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2114953.7%80 W · 69 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeb6…3e06backed Hawks67c80.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.