NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1666d2253925dc284c9713e50326802a0d4f80e1dc5ea2df1e492ef3ae26364
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Flames | 52c | 2,250$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.88 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Senators | 54c | 2,072$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.07 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Senators | 48c | 1,842$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.52 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators | 57c | 1,363$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.02 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Flames | 44c | 1,081$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.49 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Flames | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Flames | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.95 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Senators | 56c | 714.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.46 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Senators | 56c | 611.63$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.12 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flames | 2c | 555$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Flames | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…a9abbacked Senators | 55c | 480.03$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…a312backed Flames | 45c | 480$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc077…3579backed Senators | 74c | 473.11$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…ad06backed Flames | 74c | 473.11$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1caa…8176backed Senators | 75c | 401.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…f260backed Flames | 75c | 400.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…d7ebbacked Senators | 56c | 386.1$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Senators | 58c | 345.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…3232backed Senators | 55c | 300.02$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…2883backed Flames | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 45c | 261.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 44c | 250$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56e…bbdabacked Flames | 45c | 223.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…8cacbacked Flames | 46c | 221.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…1bcdbacked Senators | 56c | 221.05$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…35d2backed Senators | 56c | 219.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…8bc8backed Flames | 46c | 219.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Senators | 40c | 145.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Flames | 26c | 136.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Flames | 43c | 129$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Senators | 55c | 127.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Flames | 53c | 125.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Senators | 25c | 125.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flames | 45c | 124.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Flames | 52c | 120.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Senators | 50c | 115.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Flames | 47c | 109.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Senators | 55c | 107.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Senators | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Senators | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Flames | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Flames | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Flames | 44c | 98.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 64c | 98.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d98…0a43backed Senators | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d4…0cbebacked Senators | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…b21ebacked Flames | 45c | 98.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71aa…2169backed Flames | 45c | 98.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Senators | 56c | 93.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Senators | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Senators | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…96a6backed Flames | 46c | 86.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 44c | 76.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Flames | 46c | 74.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5237…89babacked Senators | 54c | 72.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 41cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…5b3abacked Flames | 46c | 72.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Flames | 49c | 72.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Flames | 43c | 70.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…6cdbbacked Senators | 44c | 68.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…c2b0backed Senators | 46c | 68.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Flames | 47c | 65.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…4d6bbacked Flames | 45c | 64.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…61a1backed Flames | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd0…bd03backed Flames | 53c | 62.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Senators | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Senators | 55c | 60.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…ef72backed Flames | 45c | 54.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Flames | 38c | 53.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49e3…c3dbbacked Flames | 44c | 49.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…1730backed Senators | 55c | 49.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…bb39backed Senators | 47c | 48.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c7…5e89backed Senators | 53c | 46.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…31cdbacked Flames | 54c | 45.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…ed8dbacked Senators | 55c | 45.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Senators | 55c | 45.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Senators | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…ccf1backed Flames | 56c | 44.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe485…7461backed Senators | 54c | 44.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x532a…77a6backed Flames | 46c | 44.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10b…42f7backed Senators | 47c | 44.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6035…68edbacked Senators | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367c…d6c2backed Senators | 55c | 43.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef3…da31backed Flames | 45c | 43.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…81d4backed Flames | 45c | 42.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…97babacked Senators | 55c | 42.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d0…c943backed Flames | 45c | 42.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…56ebbacked Senators | 55c | 42.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…ff0cbacked Senators | 55c | 42.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…f2efbacked Senators | 55c | 41.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4a…b7ccbacked Senators | 55c | 41.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…2129backed Senators | 56c | 40.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6180…c23fbacked Flames | 45c | 40.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…f507backed Senators | 46c | 40.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…4b63backed Flames | 45c | 40.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fa…f0eebacked Senators | 55c | 40.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Senators | 56c | 40.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Senators | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.