TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Blackhawks, Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,054 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks1c11,008$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.041,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Flames66c4,418$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.131442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blackhawks33c2,087$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.5892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Blackhawks39c2,034$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.882416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-61.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Blackhawks26c1,705$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.7432331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Blackhawks34c1,682$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.835545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks1c1,421$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.597450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Flames61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blackhawks8c877.61$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks39c826.7$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.021,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames61c811.99$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Flames66c774.67$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.679554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Blackhawks37c553.48$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141a…e615backed Blackhawks40c540.17$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blackhawks39c292.78$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1854349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flames61c254.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Blackhawks41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003850%19 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Blackhawks40c235.13$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5738040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Flames62c216.21$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.238744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Blackhawks12c205.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.178950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Flames60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ac…d7ebbacked Flames60c189$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ab…1534backed Blackhawks13c188.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe683…71e6backed Flames61c164.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blackhawks38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Flames66c125$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeb9…1b90backed Flames61c120.7$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Flames63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0522246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5f…6cb7backed Blackhawks40c114.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Blackhawks37c111.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.917444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb65…3412backed Blackhawks38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf84d…57fbbacked Blackhawks40c105$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+75.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Flames62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3811951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1802…a3afbacked Blackhawks15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Flames59c99.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Blackhawks39c91.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.623842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Blackhawks24c84.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0d…06b0backed Blackhawks40c80.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc7…45b8backed Flames61c76.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.071346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cd…6cdbbacked Flames60c72.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.064100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8ab…48b9backed Flames60c68.22$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.294100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd997…a8dcbacked Blackhawks40c66.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe9…f7f1backed Blackhawks40c66.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf59f…3be9backed Flames61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.573455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe411…9367backed Flames61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.573860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e6…12fbbacked Flames60c65.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a18…9d39backed Flames60c64.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+71.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73a0…dd5bbacked Blackhawks42c64.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd56…c1e0backed Blackhawks40c64.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x599d…2ceabacked Flames63c63.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf631…e20fbacked Flames65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60f8…32f2backed Blackhawks37c61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5710941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Flames60c58.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.581895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c55…bc14backed Flames60c58.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Flames60c54.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189a…0fbfbacked Flames60c53.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7b…80dfbacked Flames60c52.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x009b…7f7ebacked Blackhawks39c49.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x839e…ca9cbacked Blackhawks41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5afc…ba0bbacked Flames63c48.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.91560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2036…f8c2backed Blackhawks40c46.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc306…ccf1backed Flames62c44.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Flames60c43.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3328542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4901…55dabacked Blackhawks40c42.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa55…d5f7backed Blackhawks34c41.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865d…72e1backed Flames63c41.19$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.441030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbea0…2a06backed Flames59c40.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.544100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75fc…df87backed Blackhawks41c40.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a1…8300backed Blackhawks41c40.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d33…4471backed Flames59c40.12$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Blackhawks34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec79…505abacked Flames60c39.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b67…c343backed Blackhawks40c39.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+65.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f7…0bfdbacked Blackhawks40c39.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb491…42babacked Flames60c39.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.845100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa90b…447cbacked Blackhawks40c39.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56df…7c5dbacked Flames60c38.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0639…5bd1backed Flames60c38.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.284100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+73.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cd0…ede8backed Blackhawks40c38.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d1…382bbacked Blackhawks41c38.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe165…c2dcbacked Flames60c38.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.22366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4f…3201backed Flames61c37.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…1cd1backed Flames60c37.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aeb…50a7backed Blackhawks38c36.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4595…d5a8backed Blackhawks40c36.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.79425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92ff…e374backed Flames62c36.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…647dbacked Blackhawks41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4582…56ebbacked Blackhawks40c36.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5007…c58cbacked Blackhawks41c36.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ed…598cbacked Flames59c36.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3043…f15fbacked Blackhawks41c36.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x788a…b9a0backed Flames60c36.09$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa50c…1facbacked Blackhawks40c35.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e81…6094backed Flames62c35.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x181b…b5b1backed Blackhawks39c34.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5640%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0ff…d164backed Blackhawks40c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d4b…6a1abacked Flames60c33.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0e…f18ebacked Blackhawks40c33.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x387d…1221backed Flames60c33.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.325100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb851…b248backed Flames59c33.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.