NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5626a8fdffcd2db7c93fc3039f0e21a4b641e222fe19e91457a9ec5d2c348454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Knicks, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Knicks | 46c | 22,482$10,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,235.35 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pistons | 54c | 16,739$9,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,706.68 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 55c | 14,536$7,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,580.92 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Knicks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Knicks | 30c | 7,222$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.71 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Knicks | 46c | 6,105$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.41 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Knicks | 32c | 5,000$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.4 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks | 46c | 1,326$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.76 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…2d38backed Knicks | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Pistons | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…4f12backed Pistons | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Knicks | 2c | 1,034$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pistons | 55c | 969.45$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.25 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…029ebacked Knicks | 44c | 723.74$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.51 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Knicks | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…58d9backed Pistons | 72c | 662.91$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…98fbbacked Pistons | 58c | 654.18$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0989backed Knicks | 47c | 518.45$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…3b86backed Pistons | 59c | 508.84$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Knicks | 42c | 488.09$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons | 66c | 413.2$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.82 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Knicks | 44c | 343.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Knicks | 45c | 263.42$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks | 6c | 260$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Knicks | 27c | 239$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Knicks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Pistons | 54c | 197.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Knicks | 45c | 189.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Knicks | 46c | 184.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…4c9fbacked Pistons | 55c | 183.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks | 27c | 183.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Pistons | 77c | 130.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Knicks | 48c | 125.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Knicks | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Knicks | 44c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Knicks | 21c | 104.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Knicks | 44c | 103.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pistons | 53c | 102.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…e766backed Knicks | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Knicks | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pistons | 56c | 97.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pistons | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Knicks | 45c | 89.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Knicks | 32c | 81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684a…1b69backed Pistons | 57c | 80.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb280…33e8backed Knicks | 28c | 75.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Pistons | 57c | 73.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…c2c2backed Knicks | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Knicks | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Knicks | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Knicks | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…db19backed Knicks | 46c | 43.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Knicks | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Knicks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5b1cbacked Pistons | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fa…f371backed Knicks | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Knicks | 47c | 26.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Knicks | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Knicks | 47c | 23.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.