TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Falcons vs. Saints

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saintsof Falcons, Saints
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Saints56c26,714$15,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,646.0914457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Saints35c11,909$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,749.432438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Falcons33c10,000$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,347.782245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Saints35c10,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,499.9925137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Falcons65c7,472$4,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,846.49259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1361…822ebacked Falcons65c7,450$4,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,842.662556%14 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Saints36c6,575$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,207.9736246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Saints54c5,734$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.7944246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5368…9dd4backed Falcons64c4,472$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8591250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e9…af79backed Falcons65c4,000$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.891127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Saints35c2,500$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6252441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Falcons40c2,435$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98310334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Saints62c1,785$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.423946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91ce…00f6backed Falcons64c1,734$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Saints35c1,554$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.415848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Falcons65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97523937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b74…a4f4backed Falcons33c1,467$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4841816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Saints36c1,397$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.835925.4%15 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Saints36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.966233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47fa…4bbebacked Falcons64c1,215$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.382263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Falcons64c1,094$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.992661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x756b…500fbacked Saints36c1,083$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Falcons45c1,060$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4775038%19 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b95…136fbacked Falcons64c1,008$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Saints37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63016832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceea…8c07backed Saints37c999.93$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.969645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Falcons43c822.42$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505829.3%17 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Falcons2c777$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.874311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf440…2747backed Falcons23c756.47$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.842045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6925…8189backed Saints35c651.91$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Saints34c626.74$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.6528556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1475…e632backed Falcons43c603.42$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.872470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Saints53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2822339.1%9 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Saints34c599.89$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9339242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Falcons55c587.19$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32523351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Saints53c573.39$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9622638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Falcons65c571$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.1519864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Falcons35c568.44$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.635641.1%23 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Falcons63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31518658.1%108 W · 78 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Falcons65c499.99$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3258234.1%28 W · 54 L-10.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfac3…1b7bbacked Saints35c499.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.991020%2 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ab…9c67backed Falcons44c455.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Saints36c443.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1420736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Falcons65c431.54$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.84862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x531a…da3cbacked Saints60c418.44$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.133652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Saints61c407.08$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1452828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Falcons65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Falcons28c391.22$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9121713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Saints37c389$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.327339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd35d…7089backed Falcons66c378.79$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014452.8%76 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…0544backed Falcons31c323.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Falcons65c306.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008250%41 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb88…0e56backed Saints35c304.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a7…863abacked Falcons42c274.32$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5911backed Falcons66c269.53$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.891855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Saints42c258.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1629356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Falcons66c254.81$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.631573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Falcons26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7701…24e6backed Falcons62c210.2$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1216845.8%77 W · 91 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Saints36c208.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6413655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Falcons64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12838459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc252…5bb4backed Falcons28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5680%0 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f1d…3ee3backed Falcons62c192.02$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Falcons64c187.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022745.4%103 W · 124 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ed…dc9ebacked Saints61c164.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x486c…3d03backed Falcons64c157$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.484951%25 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ca…9069backed Falcons64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8186…e3d2backed Falcons65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Falcons66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018144.8%81 W · 100 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa273…7786backed Falcons66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2b…ed08backed Saints37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b9…e864backed Saints35c149.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.48944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd51…0aebbacked Falcons67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005560%33 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5199…382bbacked Falcons62c141.85$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2310463.5%66 W · 38 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7dd3…6d92backed Saints73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf421…7fcbbacked Falcons27c136.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f9…ccb1backed Falcons30c135.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a0e…433dbacked Falcons66c134$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.445766.7%38 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Saints38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5816451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edf…275fbacked Saints40c126.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Falcons65c125.42$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7816259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…249dbacked Falcons65c124.72$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Saints55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.64763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Saints37c119.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5910052%52 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Saints35c119.93$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3614022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Falcons33c117.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0420733.8%70 W · 137 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd5…63a1backed Falcons66c113.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515858.9%93 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…efb8backed Falcons66c107.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.776058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…1bb4backed Saints38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc9…c36cbacked Falcons64c104.69$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3657…b843backed Falcons53c101.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+46.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f0…1b45backed Saints35c101$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.652263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Falcons29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b89…b2aabacked Falcons39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0d…a931backed Saints37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Falcons63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6314139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Falcons64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Falcons63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6319564.6%126 W · 69 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Saints35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6511738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Saints35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6513051.5%67 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.