MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a7c75b2b27b872aa84985c570aebe52eb0ed303caddfcd320d22bc92f061f01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Padres | 52c | 111,204$57,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,377.84 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Phillies | 48c | 111,111$53,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,333.28 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 3c | 13,802$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.05 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 6c | 10,440$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Padres | 53c | 10,000$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,707.12 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 20c | 7,769$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.51 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Phillies | 11c | 5,657$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.26 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…3bb0backed Phillies | 49c | 5,586$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dd…e469backed Padres | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Phillies | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 7c | 3,628$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.12 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ca…f4c7backed Phillies | 52c | 3,511$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 52c | 3,341$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.86 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Padres | 53c | 3,198$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Phillies | 48c | 3,127$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.97 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Padres | 50c | 3,124$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.95 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…4ca9backed Phillies | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…8282backed Phillies | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Phillies | 1c | 1,584$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…6b4dbacked Phillies | 48c | 1,417$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…689fbacked Phillies | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe951…8df2backed Padres | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 1c | 1,315$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…9871backed Padres | 51c | 1,277$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf273…6116backed Phillies | 49c | 1,276$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Padres | 54c | 1,214$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.09 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…9bcebacked Padres | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…deeabacked Padres | 51c | 1,122$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efd…aa49backed Phillies | 49c | 1,112$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…eb60backed Phillies | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…e328backed Phillies | 49c | 1,088$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a3…10c6backed Padres | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7c41backed Padres | 51c | 1,065$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x346d…aa71backed Padres | 51c | 1,035$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Phillies | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Phillies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…9116backed Phillies | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…2c86backed Padres | 51c | 918$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfd…e7cbbacked Padres | 51c | 916$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…facabacked Padres | 51c | 882$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Phillies | 32c | 863.55$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.18 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Phillies | 1c | 809.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…c621backed Padres | 51c | 784$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies | 1c | 770.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Phillies | 49c | 699.97$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phillies | 3c | 650.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies | 10c | 591$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 7c | 540$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Phillies | 37c | 447.03$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.02 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 49c | 445.27$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.31 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 48c | 426.9$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.06 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Padres | 71c | 396.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Phillies | 24c | 396.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 51c | 392.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Padres | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Padres | 52c | 378.52$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.69 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…029ebacked Padres | 51c | 361.55$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Phillies | 48c | 342.58$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.78 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 7c | 317.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Phillies | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2582…bffabacked Phillies | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Padres | 49c | 295$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…c0e3backed Padres | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Padres | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…b86abacked Padres | 52c | 266.81$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 47c | 252.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff4…5a2dbacked Padres | 51c | 220.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…2ad5backed Phillies | 50c | 216.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Phillies | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 52c | 201.44$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Phillies | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Padres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Padres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Padres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…6e99backed Padres | 52c | 190.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…b1e0backed Phillies | 50c | 189.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 12c | 184.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 45c | 178.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…ba3ebacked Phillies | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3002…a7dcbacked Padres | 51c | 123.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934b…ee6fbacked Phillies | 52c | 123.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5295…2566backed Padres | 65c | 118.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…e62cbacked Phillies | 50c | 117.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Phillies | 31c | 111.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e42…f833backed Phillies | 49c | 110.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…e091backed Padres | 53c | 108.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05eb…fe56backed Phillies | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 48c | 103.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Padres | 75c | 103.93$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Padres | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Phillies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Phillies | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Phillies | 46c | 96.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Phillies | 49c | 82.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Padres | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Phillies | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.