MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29fd294c5879f779556ce7a596402e8dc6531c3d9d89d895461f5aae06d32987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Reds, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.97 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Mets | 57c | 8,346$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.79 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Reds | 43c | 7,112$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.05 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Reds | 44c | 5,483$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.38 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 39c | 5,198$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 43c | 4,310$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.97 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 56c | 3,619$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.6 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Reds | 53c | 2,798$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.29 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mets | 53c | 2,601$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.66 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 37c | 1,935$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.1 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mets | 61c | 1,919$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.69 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mets | 55c | 1,750$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…98fbbacked Mets | 59c | 1,285$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Reds | 29c | 1,212$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.22 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.02 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05eb…fe56backed Reds | 43c | 1,141$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mets | 56c | 1,141$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Reds | 43c | 930.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Reds | 21c | 869.89$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Reds | 44c | 813$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.72 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 49c | 802.96$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.76 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…3b2fbacked Mets | 56c | 796.63$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Reds | 44c | 744.52$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.59 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mets | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 80c | 691$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.58 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mets | 74c | 644.08$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 23c | 587.95$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…029ebacked Reds | 42c | 559.52$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 31c | 533.93$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Reds | 41c | 530.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 24c | 528.81$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.95 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 43c | 509.35$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.83 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Reds | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Mets | 57c | 496.28$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 11c | 484$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Reds | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 43c | 470$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Reds | 16c | 425.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 42c | 419.05$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…19b7backed Reds | 45c | 415.56$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…11c4backed Mets | 77c | 401.22$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Reds | 42c | 366$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.26 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 44c | 344$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…cffbbacked Mets | 56c | 342.86$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684a…1b69backed Mets | 56c | 308.93$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Reds | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 75c | 295.59$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Reds | 41c | 241.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Reds | 5c | 239$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Reds | 44c | 237.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Reds | 41c | 232$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Reds | 41c | 220$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Reds | 23c | 216$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Mets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Reds | 44c | 206.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 43c | 200.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…bc0dbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…fbe3backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…d536backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…8938backed Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…bd65backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1379backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…836cbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…2883backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…5a20backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…12acbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…8edfbacked Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba3…f9ccbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a6…5e3bbacked Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…7e4fbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…87efbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…45eabacked Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…eea8backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…324cbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86b…60acbacked Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…f7bebacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eda…800bbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…dd09backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce6…0079backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…ea47backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13bf…d019backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…f22fbacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…03a2backed Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c89…0acebacked Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…75f6backed Mets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.