MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52f19bae320b8c046f7dcb2f794645d085f2e4dd0e0efa8005f94783aebc019c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 53c | 4,444$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.66 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…dcafbacked Angels | 42c | 4,225$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.61 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 64c | 3,320$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.2 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Angels | 47c | 3,098$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.95 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Angels | 48c | 2,105$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.77 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 58c | 1,634$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels | 47c | 1,592$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.11 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Angels | 46c | 1,435$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.56 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 55c | 1,116$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.61 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tigers | 52c | 954.85$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.33 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 71c | 750.9$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.67 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Angels | 9c | 690$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Tigers | 62c | 392.76$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Angels | 19c | 371.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Tigers | 15c | 356.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.25 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Angels | 9c | 310$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Angels | 47c | 303.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Tigers | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Tigers | 35c | 288.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 54c | 273.66$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Tigers | 58c | 272$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Angels | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…551abacked Tigers | 56c | 226.79$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Angels | 44c | 226.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 67c | 222.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Tigers | 56c | 208.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Tigers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Tigers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Angels | 65c | 153.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Tigers | 52c | 151$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 64c | 144$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Tigers | 53c | 127.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…bd2dbacked Tigers | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…41ebbacked Tigers | 53c | 111$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked Tigers | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Tigers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Angels | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…c043backed Angels | 48c | 87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Angels | 43c | 78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…3c00backed Tigers | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Angels | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Tigers | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…a5fbbacked Tigers | 58c | 65.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…a41bbacked Angels | 48c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Tigers | 55c | 53.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Angels | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e33…ce38backed Angels | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 53c | 36.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Angels | 44c | 24.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Tigers | 54c | 18.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.