MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ec07a06c9fa41b3821f88560f41b7861aa4fc70949c5413d923c64d4db27cf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Rockies | 38c | 37,516$14,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,192.15 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 62c | 15,844$9,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,013.74 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…5a88backed Padres | 65c | 9,998$6,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…52dcbacked Rockies | 35c | 9,998$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…e305backed Rockies | 35c | 9,995$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…2bf9backed Padres | 65c | 9,995$6,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 62c | 8,535$5,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.3 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Rockies | 1c | 6,308$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Padres | 65c | 4,557$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.84 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 40c | 2,316$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.36 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 62c | 1,668$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.14 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 62c | 1,441$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.92 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Padres | 64c | 1,396$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.55 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Padres | 62c | 1,111$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.69 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…49a2backed Rockies | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…7372backed Padres | 61c | 1,026$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 61c | 1,000$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Padres | 62c | 998.54$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.44 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…c079backed Padres | 61c | 976.98$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…551abacked Rockies | 39c | 976.98$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…7123backed Padres | 61c | 909.78$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…2b46backed Rockies | 39c | 909.78$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Padres | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Padres | 62c | 806$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.28 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 34c | 767.58$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.97 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…7a01backed Padres | 61c | 655.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…4ab1backed Rockies | 39c | 655.69$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed Padres | 61c | 654.05$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Rockies | 39c | 654.05$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Padres | 60c | 626.57$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.63 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Padres | 63c | 567.59$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.01 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 61c | 450$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Padres | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 35c | 359.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Padres | 60c | 336.4$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…a401backed Padres | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +207.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 27c | 257.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 66c | 255.79$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Padres | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rockies | 37c | 229.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rockies | 17c | 224.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Padres | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 37c | 198.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Padres | 60c | 198.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Padres | 66c | 181.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Padres | 60c | 179.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Padres | 60c | 161$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rockies | 18c | 142.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Padres | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2034backed Rockies | 39c | 101.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Padres | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Rockies | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Padres | 61c | 72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Padres | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf357…14a9backed Rockies | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockies | 37c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 62c | 62.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Padres | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Padres | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Padres | 65c | 58.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Padres | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Padres | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rockies | 40c | 51.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8a…8f1bbacked Padres | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Padres | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Rockies | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Padres | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…8444backed Padres | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Padres | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c6…23a8backed Padres | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…ab70backed Rockies | 42c | 38.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…4992backed Padres | 62c | 32.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Padres | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe80…8876backed Padres | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Padres | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Rockies | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…f730backed Padres | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Padres | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…2695backed Padres | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb1…307fbacked Padres | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Padres | 61c | 16.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…ac06backed Padres | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.