Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Mertens vs. Svitolina (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c93278dbfa111a6c853754419858dce2fc9975d6b371b6492ceb877f049491e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mertensof Mertens, Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mertens | 41c | 9,862$4,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,794.42 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…f8c4backed Svitolina | 63c | 8,491$5,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,322.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Svitolina | 32c | 3,135$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.21 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Mertens | 35c | 2,738$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.63 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Svitolina | 32c | 1,720$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.68 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Mertens | 79c | 1,589$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.07 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Svitolina | 35c | 1,508$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.4 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…561bbacked Mertens | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…8322backed Mertens | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bd85backed Svitolina | 61c | 920$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1472…7e5bbacked Svitolina | 61c | 815$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed Mertens | 76c | 758.52$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Mertens | 67c | 683.68$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.1 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Svitolina | 21c | 580$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Svitolina | 34c | 554$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.19 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mertens | 37c | 501.59$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Svitolina | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Svitolina | 60c | 493.97$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Svitolina | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Svitolina | 58c | 404.91$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Svitolina | 29c | 404.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Mertens | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mertens | 70c | 333.2$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Svitolina | 32c | 322.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Svitolina | 23c | 320.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Svitolina | 59c | 252.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…53e9backed Svitolina | 40c | 251.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mertens | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Mertens | 67c | 243.57$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Mertens | 40c | 232.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.24 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mertens | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mertens | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mertens | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…f446backed Svitolina | 61c | 185$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Svitolina | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mertens | 67c | 148.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Svitolina | 60c | 146.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Svitolina | 28c | 144.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Svitolina | 48c | 141.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Svitolina | 29c | 121.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mertens | 41c | 115.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Svitolina | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Svitolina | 59c | 106.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Mertens | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Svitolina | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Svitolina | 36c | 98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaaf…e81ebacked Svitolina | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Svitolina | 22c | 79.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Svitolina | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Svitolina | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Svitolina | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Svitolina | 31c | 64.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Svitolina | 25c | 61.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Mertens | 44c | 55.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Svitolina | 63c | 53.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Svitolina | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Svitolina | 61c | 49.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Mertens | 40c | 46.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Mertens | 38c | 42.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0455…e25abacked Svitolina | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Mertens | 40c | 32.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mertens | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Mertens | 40c | 29.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Svitolina | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mertens | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.