Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Open: Cazaux vs. Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d2696bf021e91ce26b101d59d33a379278b26f92ca8a0f4bf2a48ea56b0f71b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Cazaux, Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Cazaux | 29c | 6,798$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.18 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Bublik | 71c | 2,652$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 42cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Cazaux | 17c | 2,455$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Bublik | 71c | 2,250$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.5 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Cazaux | 29c | 1,910$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.88 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Cazaux | 8c | 1,044$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…51a7backed Cazaux | 31c | 1,000$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Bublik | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Bublik | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bublik | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cazaux | 29c | 496.16$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Bublik | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Bublik | 71c | 379.92$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.18 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Bublik | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bublik | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Cazaux | 24c | 293.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bublik | 69c | 255$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bublik | 76c | 253.21$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Bublik | 69c | 252.46$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Bublik | 71c | 164.56$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Bublik | 71c | 160.89$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Bublik | 71c | 147.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Bublik | 71c | 143.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bublik | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bublik | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bublik | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Bublik | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc5…654fbacked Bublik | 71c | 110.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Bublik | 70c | 108.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Cazaux | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cazaux | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cazaux | 30c | 90.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Bublik | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Bublik | 69c | 78.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6e…9191backed Bublik | 70c | 71.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8099…2f05backed Bublik | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked Bublik | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…5066backed Bublik | 72c | 36.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Bublik | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bublik | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Bublik | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.