TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

WNBA · resolved market

Lynx vs. Aces

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Acesof Lynx, Aces
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2509…e4dbbacked Aces56c4,691$2,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.723938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Aces44c3,831$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.947855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Lynx55c3,261$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.5223931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Aces55c2,438$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.26580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+81.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Lynx55c2,236$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.771435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Aces54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9921440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Lynx55c1,865$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.9870%0 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Lynx55c1,774$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.583842.1%16 W · 22 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Lynx41c1,718$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.882751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Aces46c1,700$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.546640.9%27 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Lynx56c1,300$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7288551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Lynx48c1,078$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lynx55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55012840.6%52 W · 76 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Lynx43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4302055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lynx31c765.05$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.81,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Aces45c699.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+76%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Lynx45c642.93$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Lynx44c537.37$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23711353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Aces57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Lynx55c465.45$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Lynx57c462.29$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.58633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Aces69c373.75$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.741668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx48c350$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16813044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Lynx54c317.47$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.939055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Aces54c278.24$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.273748.6%18 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Lynx54c271.97$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.865360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Aces57c255.49$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2132047.8%153 W · 167 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aces69c225$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.657542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Aces45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2223431.6%74 W · 160 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Aces45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2227232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Lynx57c157.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Aces46c142.94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.744835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Lynx43c131.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.315154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Lynx52c122.54$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.727753.2%41 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Lynx55c105.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6920642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Lynx55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Aces46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Aces45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+45.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Lynx37c96.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.583754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Lynx55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.511552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Lynx57c87.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa3e…e822backed Lynx57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Lynx38c86.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.762751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Aces46c85.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Aces62c78.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.694250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Lynx53c76.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.781546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Lynx57c74.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76ab…a6ebbacked Lynx57c69.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e4…6e8cbacked Aces45c67.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…5c6bbacked Lynx55c63.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Aces43c63.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.965048%24 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Aces53c63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.424438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Aces47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.192842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Lynx47c52.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5815246.7%71 W · 81 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba24…a09bbacked Lynx57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Lynx37c48.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Aces42c47.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8414136.2%51 W · 90 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a66…5b12backed Aces45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Aces44c42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.526560%39 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Lynx56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c6…09b5backed Lynx58c34.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5906…c04cbacked Lynx57c33.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+85.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…ccf3backed Aces45c31.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdddd…d6f1backed Aces45c30.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd98…104cbacked Aces45c30.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Aces44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Lynx55c29.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Aces45c29.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166631.8%21 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04f9…a4a6backed Aces45c28.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ebc…f27ebacked Aces45c28.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb0f…37f2backed Lynx56c28.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba54…6c72backed Lynx56c27.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd99…ee29backed Lynx56c27.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf29c…7270backed Aces45c26.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d3…a2b9backed Aces76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Aces46c26.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.095100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Lynx49c25.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.688028.8%23 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2ae…3797backed Lynx56c24.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35fd…e721backed Lynx56c24.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Lynx41c24.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.051250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61b7…6416backed Lynx56c23.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd20b…a285backed Aces45c22.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3189…fa75backed Lynx56c21.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba7…b5e4backed Lynx56c21.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c7e…1fc5backed Lynx57c18.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1888…e1cbbacked Lynx68c17.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.