MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff6e17482176dcf3624e7de8e6c01e8f2b343445e8df752b507f10ce44fb3b7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $651,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $834,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $651,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 475 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Brewers | 56c | 180,455$101,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,400.35 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates | 44c | 131,313$57,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,777.7 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Brewers | 61c | 114,969$70,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,401.93 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Pirates | 44c | 64,893$28,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,552.9 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pirates | 38c | 45,862$17,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,420.42 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 56c | 35,523$19,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,716.29 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 42c | 9,143$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.33 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 43c | 9,047$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.25 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 40c | 8,128$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.59 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 43c | 6,125$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.75 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Pirates | 44c | 5,523$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Pirates | 51c | 5,416$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.03 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 46c | 5,321$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.05 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Pirates | 41c | 4,397$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.86 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pirates | 38c | 4,194$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.44 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 20c | 3,243$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.57 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Pirates | 45c | 3,233$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Pirates | 41c | 3,062$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.44 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pirates | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 42c | 2,694$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.18 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 44c | 2,694$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.57 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Brewers | 55c | 2,258$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.04 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…631bbacked Brewers | 59c | 2,059$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Pirates | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.98 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Brewers | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a3…10c6backed Pirates | 41c | 1,805$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Pirates | 44c | 1,690$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.37 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Brewers | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 43c | 1,379$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Brewers | 39c | 1,291$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.94 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 40c | 1,269$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.57 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Pirates | 43c | 1,203$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Brewers | 56c | 1,200$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Brewers | 56c | 1,073$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.01 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Pirates | 40c | 1,066$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.4 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pirates | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pirates | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 52c | 991.81$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 41c | 975$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Pirates | 41c | 972.73$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.82 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Brewers | 56c | 841.63$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.31 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 34c | 825.31$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.56 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Brewers | 48c | 788.61$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.61 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed Pirates | 45c | 765.42$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Brewers | 53c | 755$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pirates | 27c | 737$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.33 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 40c | 730$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Pirates | 44c | 723$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.12 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Brewers | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 55c | 676.54$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.44 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 56c | 666$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Brewers | 56c | 660.23$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 39c | 649.64$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.36 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pirates | 40c | 617$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.8 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brewers | 71c | 591.07$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 40c | 504.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.85 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 54c | 499.6$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.3 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 35c | 487$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.45 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Pirates | 42c | 482.51$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.65 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Pirates | 42c | 477$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 43c | 458.03$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Brewers | 57c | 456.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…f925backed Brewers | 57c | 421.05$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Pirates | 68c | 417.97$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.92 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 68c | 405.17$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Brewers | 56c | 401.79$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Brewers | 57c | 398.96$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…9a96backed Pirates | 44c | 398.82$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Brewers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 38c | 336.26$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Brewers | 50c | 302.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Pirates | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Brewers | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pirates | 40c | 300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…df62backed Brewers | 57c | 274.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…23d4backed Pirates | 44c | 274.84$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…56ecbacked Brewers | 57c | 261.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Brewers | 46c | 260.45$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.9 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Pirates | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Pirates | 30c | 259.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…8506backed Pirates | 41c | 254$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Brewers | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Brewers | 43c | 248.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.41 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264f…0633backed Brewers | 57c | 229.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 42c | 226.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pirates | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates | 41c | 221.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brewers | 51c | 220$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pirates | 41c | 215$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 45c | 214.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Brewers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Pirates | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Pirates | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brewers vs. Piratesthis page
- Brewers vs. Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Brewers vs. PiratesNo won
- Spread: Brewers (-1.5)Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.