Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Kentucky Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc83ab1fb57f71b3602450133bc6184e036540fdda97c5ff1e86b3ec1ecb8ce57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentucky Wildcatsof Ole Miss Rebels, Kentucky Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc323…0171backed Ole Miss Rebels | 21c | 9,737$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 19c | 2,781$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.84 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 1,946$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 1,638$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.46 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 1,530$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.06 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 1,194$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Ole Miss Rebels | 22c | 947.39$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.75 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 897.06$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Ole Miss Rebels | 24c | 744$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.47 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 649.1$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.84 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ole Miss Rebels | 16c | 631.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…71dabacked Ole Miss Rebels | 4c | 599.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 585.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kentucky Wildcats | 77c | 560.65$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ole Miss Rebels | 13c | 541.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6570…32ccbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 20c | 525.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 513.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 497.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd183…ebffbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 490$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…faf2backed Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 480$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 466.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kentucky Wildcats | 79c | 358.98$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Ole Miss Rebels | 11c | 356.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 79c | 309$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…3c6dbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 20c | 299.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Ole Miss Rebels | 19c | 284.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 199.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 23c | 157$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Kentucky Wildcats | 77c | 157$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 20c | 131.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 124.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 80c | 122$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 109.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 77c | 106$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Ole Miss Rebels | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 99.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…f17dbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 15c | 99.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…22e4backed Ole Miss Rebels | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 90.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Ole Miss Rebels | 31c | 78.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 72.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Ole Miss Rebels | 22c | 70.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…9589backed Ole Miss Rebels | 21c | 57.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Kentucky Wildcats | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Kentucky Wildcatsthis page
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 143.5Under won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 144.5Under won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-10.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-9.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.