Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x832365d10b67e40f142bda701f952c7834c4c4480e5ee7f001cc7a37f08707f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ole Miss Rebelsof Kentucky Wildcats, Ole Miss Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 1,854$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Ole Miss Rebels | 49c | 1,521$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.09 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kentucky Wildcats | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 506$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.55 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Kentucky Wildcats | 57c | 435.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Ole Miss Rebels | 44c | 358.2$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 47c | 300$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Ole Miss Rebels | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 195.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 45c | 167$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…6aa8backed Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 46c | 94.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Ole Miss Rebels | 47c | 39.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kentucky Wildcats | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Ole Miss Rebels | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ole Miss Rebels | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Kentucky Wildcats | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…9ba2backed Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-9.5)this page
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Kentucky WildcatsKentucky Wildcats won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 143.5Under won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 144.5Under won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-10.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.