WNBA · resolved market
Liberty vs Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x014836dbe241e1becf4c6858ca5a6d6ce1f1408f977e1683f053cad7f3bc89ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Liberty, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Liberty | 48c | 3,496$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.96 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Lynx | 41c | 2,453$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.37 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Liberty | 47c | 2,353$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.83 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Liberty | 45c | 2,147$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.94 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lynx | 54c | 2,050$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Liberty | 46c | 1,969$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.72 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx | 47c | 1,955$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.12 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lynx | 54c | 1,596$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.16 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Lynx | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Liberty | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Liberty | 46c | 976.7$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.28 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lynx | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…7a36backed Liberty | 50c | 797.84$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lynx | 68c | 684$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Liberty | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Lynx | 54c | 650$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Liberty | 47c | 586.23$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.53 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Lynx | 53c | 553.04$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Liberty | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Lynx | 45c | 357.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.15 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Lynx | 45c | 334.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Liberty | 13c | 329.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Liberty | 33c | 293.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Lynx | 54c | 286$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Lynx | 74c | 271.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Liberty | 34c | 221.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Liberty | 44c | 211.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Lynx | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Liberty | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Liberty | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lynx | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…be8bbacked Liberty | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…6924backed Lynx | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835f…0800backed Lynx | 53c | 193.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Lynx | 54c | 185.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Lynx | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Liberty | 58c | 177.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Liberty | 34c | 164.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Lynx | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Lynx | 53c | 144.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Liberty | 70c | 132.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Lynx | 54c | 127.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Liberty | 47c | 122.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Lynx | 54c | 119$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Lynx | 50c | 112.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…9481backed Lynx | 50c | 112.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Lynx | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lynx | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Lynx | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lynx | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Lynx | 53c | 95.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lynx | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Lynx | 55c | 91.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Liberty | 53c | 71.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Liberty | 46c | 69.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Liberty | 20c | 67.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lynx | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Lynx | 54c | 54.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Lynx | 74c | 48.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Liberty | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…5e30backed Lynx | 71c | 43.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Liberty | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Liberty | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Lynx | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Liberty | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.