College Football · resolved market
Ohio State vs. Purdue Boilermakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x910cb1b7d9b9c03fdc207d1c23b1ca481520ca2e4146947e3c5a6cd15cc33086
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stateof Ohio State, Purdue Boilermakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 11,146$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.89 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Purdue Boilermakers | 3c | 10,051$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.67 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 10,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Purdue Boilermakers | 1c | 8,509$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 0c | 8,126$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 1c | 5,436$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Purdue Boilermakers | 1c | 4,639$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Purdue Boilermakers | 3c | 4,038$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Purdue Boilermakers | 3c | 1,801$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 1,722$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Purdue Boilermakers | 4c | 1,578$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Purdue Boilermakers | 5c | 1,020$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…ed90backed Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Purdue Boilermakers | 1c | 999.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 786$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 654$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 640.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 3c | 605.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…e517backed Purdue Boilermakers | 2c | 547.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Purdue Boilermakers | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…8882backed Purdue Boilermakers | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…9c16backed Purdue Boilermakers | 4c | 303.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ohio State vs. Purdue Boilermakersthis page
- O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-29.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Ohio State (-30.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.