MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30dc65a87235fd2262a60c7628d6dc31d033cf7636a3b7baae9dac3128710817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Red Sox, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Red Sox | 44c | 51,582$22,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,696.15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 55c | 12,871$7,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,791.75 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 63c | 10,529$6,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.19 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Blue Jays | 56c | 10,315$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.58 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Red Sox | 42c | 8,794$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,693.33 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Red Sox | 31c | 6,196$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.17 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays | 51c | 6,004$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.07 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays | 56c | 5,670$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.01 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 29c | 5,517$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.61 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…e155backed Red Sox | 44c | 5,455$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Blue Jays | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 44c | 5,146$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.51 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox | 41c | 5,121$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.8 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Red Sox | 44c | 5,015$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…af15backed Blue Jays | 56c | 5,002$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 1c | 4,745$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c6…5040backed Red Sox | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Red Sox | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 4,444$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.77 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 4,309$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.83 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Blue Jays | 56c | 4,107$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 3,913$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.72 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 2,880$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.22 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…3162backed Blue Jays | 56c | 2,680$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox | 45c | 2,667$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Red Sox | 37c | 2,203$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.66 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 59c | 2,198$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.04 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…d24bbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 2,054$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.57 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Red Sox | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…27c3backed Blue Jays | 56c | 1,784$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Red Sox | 40c | 1,500$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Red Sox | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Red Sox | 1c | 1,428$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 63c | 1,208$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.62 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 27c | 1,166$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.7 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Red Sox | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Red Sox | 2c | 1,042$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Red Sox | 44c | 1,008$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.52 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jays | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8df…3fbcbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 894$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Red Sox | 45c | 889.35$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Red Sox | 3c | 839.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 44c | 818$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.42 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Red Sox | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Red Sox | 57c | 696.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Sox | 28c | 691.96$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.45 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Red Sox | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Blue Jays | 77c | 650.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Red Sox | 45c | 616.96$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.63 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Red Sox | 43c | 600$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.02 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Red Sox | 7c | 595.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 594.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.7 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Red Sox | 44c | 587.48$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.49 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 559.98$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.39 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Red Sox | 46c | 539.19$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Red Sox | 50c | 494.86$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jays | 54c | 492.65$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.73 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 43c | 475$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.25 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Red Sox | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Red Sox | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Red Sox | 45c | 440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Red Sox | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Red Sox | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Red Sox | 35c | 391$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Red Sox | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 60c | 369.8$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.22 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Blue Jays | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 357.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.31 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Red Sox | 48c | 343.83$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.04 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Red Sox | 45c | 333.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc977…493cbacked Red Sox | 41c | 327.57$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 326.51$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Red Sox | 29c | 320$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Red Sox | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Red Sox | 45c | 266.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Red Sox | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jays | 60c | 240.02$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Red Sox | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Blue Jays | 57c | 237.42$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.09 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 44c | 231$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Red Sox | 44c | 225$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Red Sox | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Red Sox | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Red Sox | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Red Sox | 44c | 216.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Red Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Red Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Red Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Red Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfda9…0aa8backed Red Sox | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…20b5backed Red Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.