NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafd9f14a318a102dd5ff4edd903636e5e2f6e7a53c08dde5cafa6f86a4451f37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Lightning, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Golden Knights | 52c | 14,164$7,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,798.79 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Lightning | 48c | 11,000$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights | 52c | 3,800$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.82 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 48c | 3,192$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.39 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lightning | 53c | 3,019$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lightning | 48c | 2,505$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.38 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 47c | 1,915$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.8 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 49c | 1,874$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.13 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,872$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.96 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 2c | 1,661$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 1,553$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.76 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 1,015$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.09 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Golden Knights | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 16c | 864.41$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fce…c2bebacked Golden Knights | 51c | 850.98$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5130…ec8ebacked Lightning | 50c | 832$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 48c | 749.97$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.53 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 44c | 679.03$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.84 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights | 52c | 669$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.12 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 5c | 668.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Golden Knights | 51c | 598$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.02 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…fd35backed Golden Knights | 52c | 574.31$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…5386backed Lightning | 48c | 416.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Lightning | 49c | 411.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 384.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.78 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 377.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…e62cbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 357.1$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lightning | 46c | 305$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Golden Knights | 53c | 303$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Lightning | 47c | 299.94$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 8c | 298.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Lightning | 43c | 282.11$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…6d9bbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 270.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Lightning | 47c | 269.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 38c | 264.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Golden Knights | 50c | 250$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dea…8128backed Lightning | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…ae1abacked Golden Knights | 53c | 236.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Lightning | 48c | 230$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Lightning | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Lightning | 49c | 204.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…da40backed Lightning | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fc…b401backed Golden Knights | 53c | 158.47$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 142.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…2b2fbacked Lightning | 48c | 137.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lightning | 47c | 133.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…24ddbacked Lightning | 48c | 132.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5494…50f5backed Golden Knights | 53c | 118.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Golden Knights | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…b583backed Lightning | 48c | 111.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 47c | 109.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Golden Knights | 51c | 109.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07f…ad9dbacked Lightning | 48c | 109.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…0f8cbacked Lightning | 48c | 107.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…0597backed Lightning | 48c | 106.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413c…9a07backed Lightning | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…4bdabacked Golden Knights | 52c | 106$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6002…19f5backed Golden Knights | 52c | 106$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…6bd8backed Golden Knights | 52c | 106$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfb…c4e8backed Lightning | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…8d88backed Lightning | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c0…823bbacked Lightning | 48c | 104.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…5519backed Lightning | 48c | 103.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb0…823fbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 103.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…182bbacked Lightning | 48c | 102.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb19…e5a0backed Golden Knights | 53c | 101.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb955…175ebacked Lightning | 48c | 101.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…134bbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 101.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…cc6dbacked Lightning | 48c | 100.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lightning | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lightning | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…d4eabacked Golden Knights | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…b694backed Lightning | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lightning | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…cb54backed Golden Knights | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdc…79acbacked Lightning | 48c | 99.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02a…67a7backed Golden Knights | 53c | 99.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…561ebacked Lightning | 48c | 99.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…b1fdbacked Lightning | 48c | 99.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…cb9ebacked Lightning | 48c | 98.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…0ab6backed Golden Knights | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd07d…8a68backed Golden Knights | 53c | 96.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…54e5backed Golden Knights | 53c | 94.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…9759backed Golden Knights | 53c | 94.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…5209backed Lightning | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…65ecbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 92.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…c60dbacked Lightning | 48c | 91.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 90.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…63c7backed Golden Knights | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…a632backed Lightning | 48c | 87.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…45e8backed Golden Knights | 53c | 87.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…ff63backed Lightning | 48c | 85.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.