NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9013b6ce81fd993e283cc10d3706d138c7c579a71a1545b52e5f2b02eb939f4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Flyers, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Flyers | 31c | 15,098$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680.38 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 10,215$7,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.08 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Flyers | 30c | 8,428$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.41 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 8,400$5,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 30c | 7,695$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.78 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 6,944$4,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.2 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 32c | 3,931$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.08 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Flyers | 30c | 3,358$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.4 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 2,700$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 1,502$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Flyers | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 1,204$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.07 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…9e69backed Flyers | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 911.18$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…1901backed Flyers | 30c | 847.76$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 729.5$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 720$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Flyers | 3c | 605.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5584…6e2abacked Flyers | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Flyers | 5c | 436.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 413.31$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 391.46$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.34 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 386.83$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 381$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 359.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Flyers | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Flyers | 29c | 318.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 30c | 278.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Flyers | 31c | 260$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 256.76$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…f292backed Flyers | 30c | 253.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…79f2backed Flyers | 31c | 211.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 200.62$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 171$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdc…79acbacked Flyers | 31c | 158.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers | 7c | 156.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed Flyers | 30c | 145.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…3d23backed Flyers | 30c | 131.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Flyers | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 89.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…129fbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…22b0backed Flyers | 26c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…ca9cbacked Flyers | 31c | 83.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…547abacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 77.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea6…0d85backed Flyers | 31c | 76.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…d4eabacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 75.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd07d…8a68backed Flyers | 31c | 74.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…6e79backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 71.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…eaa3backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…3e47backed Flyers | 31c | 71.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Flyers | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…32e8backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 67.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 65.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ae…0a9cbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 64.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…b7b7backed Flyers | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…0fb2backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…18b7backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 57.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Flyers | 35c | 54.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…4310backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 53.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…6b3ebacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Flyers | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Flyers | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Flyers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a1…b84cbacked Flyers | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Flyers | 30c | 44.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5b…07f1backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 44.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…2e4dbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850e…39eebacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 40.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a7…143bbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 38.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…f58ebacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…3b4bbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…d3d4backed Flyers | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…e6debacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 33.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Flyers | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.