CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. Lynn Vision
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x131f51f29f36d2a41aacd5fc2aae6ebc909aa550ba88075972c73735065b1518
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The MongolZof The MongolZ, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Lynn Vision | 29c | 8,917$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.9 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed The MongolZ | 70c | 6,920$4,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.14 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Lynn Vision | 30c | 2,236$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed The MongolZ | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked The MongolZ | 70c | 1,864$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.2 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lynn Vision | 32c | 1,110$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.27 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Lynn Vision | 11c | 1,010$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed The MongolZ | 69c | 936.91$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.44 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed The MongolZ | 71c | 832.25$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.35 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed The MongolZ | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Lynn Vision | 4c | 658.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…91f9backed Lynn Vision | 42c | 653.19$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Lynn Vision | 31c | 646.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked The MongolZ | 70c | 636$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked The MongolZ | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked The MongolZ | 71c | 422.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed The MongolZ | 58c | 380.28$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.3 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked The MongolZ | 72c | 343.06$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 232.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked The MongolZ | 70c | 222$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lynn Vision | 13c | 208.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed The MongolZ | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Lynn Vision | 45c | 184.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7d47backed The MongolZ | 67c | 183.01$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed The MongolZ | 75c | 179.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Lynn Vision | 24c | 135$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…de52backed The MongolZ | 72c | 121.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Lynn Vision | 33c | 115.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed The MongolZ | 67c | 115.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…64f4backed The MongolZ | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1702…24d6backed Lynn Vision | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked The MongolZ | 52c | 84.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed The MongolZ | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked The MongolZ | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed The MongolZ | 64c | 77.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked The MongolZ | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…7a75backed The MongolZ | 72c | 56.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Lynn Vision | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Lynn Vision | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked The MongolZ | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…4c6cbacked The MongolZ | 56c | 48.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…d6e3backed The MongolZ | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3268…d305backed The MongolZ | 72c | 43.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 40.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked The MongolZ | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked The MongolZ | 71c | 35.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…8b5cbacked Lynn Vision | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…6fc5backed The MongolZ | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.