CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. FURIA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab0a947d803a8af90c1dc31f3dea42f4729518bb94be6f01b72ae0257ece2efa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof The MongolZ, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked FURIA | 41c | 4,975$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked The MongolZ | 63c | 3,183$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed The MongolZ | 62c | 2,203$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.86 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked The MongolZ | 59c | 2,176$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.06 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA | 38c | 1,999$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.21 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed FURIA | 37c | 1,683$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.39 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked The MongolZ | 78c | 1,626$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.14 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked FURIA | 50c | 1,560$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked The MongolZ | 59c | 1,551$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.97 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked FURIA | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.98 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed The MongolZ | 49c | 1,200$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed FURIA | 34c | 1,086$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.46 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed The MongolZ | 61c | 1,000$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed FURIA | 38c | 835.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.32 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked The MongolZ | 62c | 720$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked The MongolZ | 60c | 572$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed The MongolZ | 50c | 541$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.91 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed The MongolZ | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed The MongolZ | 52c | 478.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…64f4backed FURIA | 59c | 383.3$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.23 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed The MongolZ | 46c | 300$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed The MongolZ | 60c | 258.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.2 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed The MongolZ | 63c | 213.87$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked The MongolZ | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed FURIA | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed The MongolZ | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…4743backed The MongolZ | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed The MongolZ | 63c | 199.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA | 52c | 187.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…a0f0backed The MongolZ | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked The MongolZ | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed FURIA | 51c | 149.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed FURIA | 38c | 136.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed The MongolZ | 77c | 108.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked FURIA | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked The MongolZ | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…4344backed The MongolZ | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…074cbacked FURIA | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed FURIA | 34c | 91.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed The MongolZ | 42c | 88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed The MongolZ | 64c | 87.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked The MongolZ | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked FURIA | 35c | 81.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked The MongolZ | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed The MongolZ | 60c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…038bbacked The MongolZ | 56c | 55.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked The MongolZ | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…04acbacked The MongolZ | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed The MongolZ | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked The MongolZ | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed FURIA | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed The MongolZ | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed The MongolZ | 73c | 32.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked FURIA | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa8…38b1backed The MongolZ | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…19b3backed FURIA | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf8…d7e2backed The MongolZ | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed FURIA | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…de52backed FURIA | 48c | 22.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…6139backed The MongolZ | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.