CS2 · resolved market
IEM Dallas: 3DMAX vs. G2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85b6ab4d90456d20e8b5ac0e1ed15687d2ba8a87b1af7b35855706fd36ff8bd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of 3DMAX, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed G2 | 2c | 9,000$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,836.5 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 3DMAX | 48c | 884.62$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.62 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…901abacked G2 | 52c | 637.09$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked 3DMAX | 51c | 602.7$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.38 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed G2 | 53c | 568.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.11 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 3DMAX | 47c | 486.71$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed 3DMAX | 24c | 483.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked G2 | 52c | 336.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ae12backed G2 | 49c | 232.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed 3DMAX | 45c | 173.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed 3DMAX | 31c | 141.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4efabacked G2 | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…1eb6backed G2 | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…a667backed 3DMAX | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70f…4b0abacked 3DMAX | 51c | 92.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked 3DMAX | 50c | 87.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked G2 | 62c | 70.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8f…3a78backed G2 | 67c | 70.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked G2 | 74c | 67.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db4…d97fbacked G2 | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed 3DMAX | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…6e4bbacked G2 | 72c | 54.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed 3DMAX | 47c | 52.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed 3DMAX | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2c…0ecbbacked G2 | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…b840backed 3DMAX | 52c | 45.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed G2 | 72c | 45.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked G2 | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863d…4770backed G2 | 54c | 37.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72f…ada8backed 3DMAX | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.