MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e02500cbeaa2faed4d71900d3033b5641baecee33a12ac6a65ef9330fc6aa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Pirates, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 11c | 15,566$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.28 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Pirates | 34c | 3,400$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.95 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 21c | 3,397$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cubs | 69c | 2,188$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.27 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cubs | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked Cubs | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pirates | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 66c | 1,250$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pirates | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pirates | 22c | 1,107$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.24 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 11c | 1,006$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Pirates | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 65c | 876.25$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.79 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 34c | 751.43$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.49 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Pirates | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Pirates | 20c | 560.76$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pirates | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pirates | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Pirates | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Pirates | 4c | 490$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 34c | 443.06$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.64 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pirates | 34c | 412.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.33 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Pirates | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cubs | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Cubs | 64c | 387.88$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.64 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Pirates | 35c | 377$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 64c | 352.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 33c | 330.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 65c | 307.44$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Cubs | 69c | 305.58$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 66c | 302.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Cubs | 64c | 299.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Cubs | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 35c | 297$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 34c | 294.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates | 36c | 294.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 25c | 284.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 35c | 240.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 34c | 217.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pirates | 9c | 205$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 66c | 193.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 29c | 192.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…ebcebacked Pirates | 36c | 175.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 65c | 172.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Pirates | 34c | 157.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Cubs | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed Cubs | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Cubs | 68c | 148.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 34c | 144$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Pirates | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Cubs | 66c | 137.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…1319backed Pirates | 36c | 132.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pirates | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Pirates | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…9baabacked Cubs | 74c | 124.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Cubs | 80c | 119.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pirates | 32c | 106.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05a…398bbacked Pirates | 36c | 105.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Pirates | 35c | 102.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Pirates | 20c | 102.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Pirates | 33c | 100.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cubs | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Pirates | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Cubs | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Pirates | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…8fedbacked Cubs | 67c | 99.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Pirates | 28c | 98.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…2ee0backed Cubs | 67c | 93.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…81f0backed Pirates | 21c | 93.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cubs | 66c | 91.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Cubs | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cubs | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…3187backed Cubs | 65c | 90.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Cubs | 66c | 87.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…8a60backed Pirates | 36c | 84.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Pirates | 17c | 83.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…3488backed Pirates | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Pirates | 35c | 77.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Cubs | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…1d01backed Cubs | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…1cadbacked Cubs | 65c | 66.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44f…9756backed Cubs | 65c | 66.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 35c | 63.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…faafbacked Pirates | 35c | 61.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebe…2461backed Cubs | 65c | 57.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Pirates | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da0…2825backed Cubs | 67c | 56.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Cubs | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Pirates | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Cubs | 66c | 47.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pirates | 35c | 46.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…ca82backed Cubs | 65c | 42.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Pirates | 25c | 42.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cubs | 66c | 40.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…ce76backed Cubs | 65c | 40.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Pirates | 35c | 37.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.