CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Aurora vs. FaZe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2813810fa3cc2839b01050521c74dcbf2f6e6957eddb39c9edc1459f09092106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, FaZe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked FaZe | 47c | 8,792$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.97 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Aurora | 59c | 4,056$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.81 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed FaZe | 26c | 4,015$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.42 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Aurora | 65c | 3,034$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.6 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Aurora | 69c | 2,908$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.09 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Aurora | 54c | 1,954$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed FaZe | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed FaZe | 11c | 1,826$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora | 78c | 1,794$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.69 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Aurora | 54c | 1,773$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.62 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked FaZe | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Aurora | 76c | 1,045$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.65 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked FaZe | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Aurora | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FaZe | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…b385backed FaZe | 40c | 757.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 54c | 736.71$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.89 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed FaZe | 41c | 666$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.06 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed FaZe | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Aurora | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FaZe | 46c | 461.35$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Aurora | 54c | 459$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.14 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Aurora | 68c | 441.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked FaZe | 46c | 380.24$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed FaZe | 22c | 372.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Aurora | 55c | 362.31$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed FaZe | 43c | 350.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Aurora | 53c | 313$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.11 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Aurora | 53c | 305.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Aurora | 58c | 284.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Aurora | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed FaZe | 51c | 251.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Aurora | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked FaZe | 53c | 190$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked FaZe | 43c | 162.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed FaZe | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Aurora | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Aurora | 61c | 149.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…6241backed FaZe | 47c | 149.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…3490backed FaZe | 34c | 146.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…64f4backed FaZe | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Aurora | 77c | 110.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked FaZe | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…05a0backed FaZe | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Aurora | 53c | 76.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FaZe | 23c | 76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked FaZe | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…b9b1backed FaZe | 30c | 71.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…fdfcbacked FaZe | 46c | 61.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…04acbacked FaZe | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Aurora | 64c | 57.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked FaZe | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…d3eebacked FaZe | 47c | 49.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked FaZe | 47c | 43.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…d0e4backed FaZe | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed FaZe | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed Aurora | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 53c | 36.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed FaZe | 46c | 33.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…eb3bbacked Aurora | 55c | 32.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -77%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…c00abacked FaZe | 52c | 30.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked FaZe | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed Aurora | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.