MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc922294385effa14de1974384ec056fc939dd0aa4cfe1a12784583cb95ba9736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Phillies | 63c | 71,302$45,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,265.85 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Phillies | 80c | 40,841$32,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,351.26 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 36c | 31,467$11,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,320.57 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Marlins | 39c | 23,652$9,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,176.23 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 39c | 20,810$8,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,107.91 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Marlins | 37c | 16,722$6,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,186.72 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Phillies | 61c | 10,983$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.37 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Marlins | 39c | 8,583$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.43 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 61c | 8,391$5,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.55 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 75c | 6,495$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.46 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 36c | 5,347$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.76 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 61c | 5,107$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.73 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 75c | 4,477$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.76 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 37c | 4,256$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.06 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins | 37c | 3,685$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.63 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 34c | 3,544$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.58 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Marlins | 9c | 3,371$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.39 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 9c | 3,146$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.23 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Marlins | 36c | 2,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 37c | 2,675$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.92 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Marlins | 1c | 2,446$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 0c | 2,408$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 5c | 2,323$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marlins | 5c | 2,233$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Phillies | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Phillies | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.98 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Marlins | 40c | 1,977$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.8 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Marlins | 1c | 1,969$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Phillies | 63c | 1,844$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.15 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 62c | 1,734$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.87 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Marlins | 38c | 1,315$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 61c | 1,164$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.58 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 5c | 1,160$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Marlins | 23c | 1,131$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.35 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Marlins | 1c | 1,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Marlins | 8c | 1,084$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 62c | 1,081$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.24 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Marlins | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 62c | 1,066$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.08 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Marlins | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 65c | 918.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.14 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Marlins | 3c | 830$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…e299backed Marlins | 38c | 821.64$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 62c | 810$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…5866backed Phillies | 61c | 750$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 38c | 705$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Phillies | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Marlins | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 36c | 499.89$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.46 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Phillies | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 29c | 486$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Marlins | 38c | 450.07$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.02 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Marlins | 6c | 428.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Phillies | 62c | 402.42$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.92 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Marlins | 7c | 375$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Marlins | 38c | 356$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Phillies | 65c | 338.46$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Phillies | 62c | 328.85$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.96 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 64c | 310.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc88…681abacked Phillies | 65c | 309.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 35c | 278.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Marlins | 25c | 256.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Marlins | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…2dd4backed Marlins | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Marlins | 37c | 238$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 62c | 237.1$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Phillies | 65c | 225.47$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f0…1af3backed Phillies | 65c | 186.15$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 62c | 184.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 38c | 183.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Phillies | 62c | 176.92$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 13c | 167.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Phillies | 63c | 134.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Marlins | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Marlins | 36c | 101$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 35c | 99.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Phillies | 64c | 95.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Marlins | 39c | 89.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Phillies | 65c | 89.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 39c | 83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…fc62backed Phillies | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked Phillies | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Phillies | 62c | 78.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Marlins | 35c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Marlins | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Phillies | 60c | 60.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Phillies | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Phillies | 64c | 59.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Phillies | 63c | 59.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…b49cbacked Marlins | 38c | 57.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Phillies | 61c | 57.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.