CS2 · resolved market
IEM Dallas: MOUZ vs. The MongolZ
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68ac506e72b8312b1ba00191cb1ca9aa4ae4fe444707f49d1b713db920ffbdcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, The MongolZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xece9…75a4backed MOUZ | 64c | 54,155$34,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,498.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…6ba7backed The MongolZ | 36c | 54,000$19,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa683…d26abacked The MongolZ | 21c | 6,900$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked The MongolZ | 31c | 3,432$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.04 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…390fbacked MOUZ | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.55 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked MOUZ | 69c | 2,786$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.6 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed MOUZ | 69c | 2,346$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.82 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked The MongolZ | 31c | 2,000$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked The MongolZ | 32c | 1,544$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.63 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed The MongolZ | 31c | 1,536$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.77 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…19bcbacked MOUZ | 69c | 1,505$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed MOUZ | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.17 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,336$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.95 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…dc8abacked The MongolZ | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…2aa7backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 67c | 993.94$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed MOUZ | 68c | 880.89$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.89 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked MOUZ | 68c | 733.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.29 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…3caabacked The MongolZ | 33c | 720$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6c38backed MOUZ | 67c | 635$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed The MongolZ | 33c | 579.07$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…6de5backed MOUZ | 70c | 527.59$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed The MongolZ | 32c | 499.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed The MongolZ | 33c | 460$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed The MongolZ | 37c | 415.2$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…0735backed The MongolZ | 25c | 400$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed MOUZ | 68c | 399.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…e090backed MOUZ | 67c | 365$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked MOUZ | 68c | 364.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed MOUZ | 68c | 310.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ae12backed The MongolZ | 31c | 286.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked The MongolZ | 39c | 253.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1375backed MOUZ | 68c | 253.56$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 69c | 252.35$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed MOUZ | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed MOUZ | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked The MongolZ | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…adf7backed MOUZ | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…e35fbacked The MongolZ | 33c | 185$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…9b05backed The MongolZ | 33c | 160.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked MOUZ | 69c | 159.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…86bcbacked The MongolZ | 38c | 155$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed The MongolZ | 31c | 149.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked MOUZ | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed MOUZ | 66c | 105.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed The MongolZ | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked The MongolZ | 34c | 98.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed MOUZ | 71c | 97.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…0da5backed MOUZ | 69c | 94.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked The MongolZ | 31c | 93.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8c…d607backed MOUZ | 70c | 76.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…1927backed MOUZ | 77c | 74.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed The MongolZ | 24c | 71.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…7a75backed MOUZ | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed The MongolZ | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…ee3cbacked MOUZ | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked MOUZ | 68c | 65.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf758…ab6abacked The MongolZ | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…5dc4backed The MongolZ | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed The MongolZ | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db4…d97fbacked MOUZ | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…7936backed The MongolZ | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…c0e0backed The MongolZ | 32c | 46.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7a…e5d7backed The MongolZ | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…6bd8backed MOUZ | 70c | 27.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c8…f919backed MOUZ | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…6473backed MOUZ | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.