Tennis · resolved market
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Carol Zhao vs Lia Karatancheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x096f89074304700210da6fa038a9f55ebefdc4f3b1e861ce14b0217d12baeef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lia Karatanchevaof Carol Zhao, Lia Karatancheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Carol Zhao | 3c | 9,775$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.91 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Carol Zhao | 13c | 7,335$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.44 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Carol Zhao | 13c | 6,175$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.79 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Carol Zhao | 6c | 4,792$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Carol Zhao | 5c | 4,316$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.11 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Carol Zhao | 5c | 3,196$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.71 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Carol Zhao | 34c | 2,525$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.25 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Carol Zhao | 4c | 2,425$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Carol Zhao | 5c | 1,899$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Carol Zhao | 4c | 1,853$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…be0dbacked Carol Zhao | 1c | 1,813$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Carol Zhao | 1c | 1,614$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Carol Zhao | 21c | 1,564$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Carol Zhao | 7c | 999.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lia Karatancheva | 71c | 881.67$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.57 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Carol Zhao | 3c | 796.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Carol Zhao | 11c | 708.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Lia Karatancheva | 73c | 623.78$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Carol Zhao | 26c | 599.78$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Carol Zhao | 15c | 556.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lia Karatancheva | 78c | 510.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0a…e318backed Carol Zhao | 3c | 427$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Carol Zhao | 3c | 344.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Lia Karatancheva | 67c | 328.7$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…4468backed Carol Zhao | 5c | 305.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Carol Zhao | 34c | 298.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Carol Zhao | 4c | 269.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Carol Zhao | 4c | 262.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Lia Karatancheva | 70c | 261.8$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Lia Karatancheva | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Lia Karatancheva | 72c | 221.1$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Lia Karatancheva | 72c | 208.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Lia Karatancheva | 77c | 204$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lia Karatancheva | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lia Karatancheva | 66c | 199$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Carol Zhao | 24c | 185$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Carol Zhao | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Carol Zhao | 17c | 176.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Lia Karatancheva | 78c | 144.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Lia Karatancheva | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Carol Zhao | 33c | 108.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lia Karatancheva | 75c | 108$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 435 | 58.6%255 W · 180 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Carol Zhao | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Lia Karatancheva | 72c | 89.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Lia Karatancheva | 67c | 89.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Lia Karatancheva | 72c | 83.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Carol Zhao | 24c | 79.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 180 | 20.6%37 W · 143 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…63cabacked Carol Zhao | 15c | 74.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Carol Zhao | 31c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Lia Karatancheva | 70c | 55.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Lia Karatancheva | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…5cccbacked Lia Karatancheva | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Lia Karatancheva | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Lia Karatancheva | 67c | 40.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Lia Karatancheva | 67c | 39.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Lia Karatancheva | 79c | 38.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…487fbacked Lia Karatancheva | 72c | 34.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Lia Karatancheva | 74c | 29.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Lia Karatancheva | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…4f17backed Lia Karatancheva | 78c | 25.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 77cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e90…188dbacked Lia Karatancheva | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.