Tennis · resolved market
Vicenza: Pietro Fellin vs Pol Martin Tiffon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea39168f3d695a208cce4f201ae55a276d7381ba1df54a4c65140761ba2f8b3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pol Martin Tiffonof Pietro Fellin, Pol Martin Tiffon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pietro Fellin | 10c | 4,214$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.05 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…34d8backed Pietro Fellin | 10c | 1,948$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Pietro Fellin | 5c | 1,444$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f2…b0f3backed Pietro Fellin | 8c | 1,351$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Pietro Fellin | 10c | 1,242$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Pietro Fellin | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pietro Fellin | 19c | 637.7$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Pietro Fellin | 10c | 507$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Pietro Fellin | 6c | 260.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Pietro Fellin | 9c | 250.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Pietro Fellin | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Pietro Fellin | 21c | 232.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Pietro Fellin | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pietro Fellin | 7c | 177.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…7e19backed Pietro Fellin | 7c | 149.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pietro Fellin | 18c | 117.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Pietro Fellin | 17c | 112.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…073dbacked Pietro Fellin | 22c | 90.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pietro Fellin | 17c | 76.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e5…7b0fbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.