TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xef9f…073d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Mls, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 51 out of 100; worst Cricket at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$52.41
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$54.74
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+172.2%+$182.22
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$31.33
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.02
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.65
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 24 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Cricket — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs Guyana Amazon Warriorsbacked Antigua And Barbuda Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs Trinbago Knight Ridersbacked Trinbago Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Caribbean Premier League: St. Lucia Kings vs Jamaica Kingsmenbacked Jamaica Kingsmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs St. Kitts and Nevis Patriotsbacked Antigua And Barbuda Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+270.1%+$98.52
Caribbean Premier League: Jamaica Kingsmen vs Trinbago Knight Ridersbacked Trinbago Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Caribbean Premier League: St. Lucia Kings vs Antigua And Barbuda Falconsbacked Antigua And Barbuda Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Caribbean Premier League: Jamaica Kingsmen vs Guyana Amazon Warriorsbacked Jamaica Kingsmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.84
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.91
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$26.55
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$25.18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Francisco Comesana vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.97
Brownsburg: Andres Andrade vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Open: Maya Joint vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$146.47
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondarbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$23.02
Vicenza: Pietro Fellin vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Pietro Fellin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paris: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$19.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.