Champions League · resolved market
KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e1436e09f27e0905beb2b7efe27b643ace1b6120abf12c8c2738b4902e0b573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 57c | 6,068$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.03 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 49c | 2,850$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.51 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 2,735$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.86 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 2,132$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.07 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 2,060$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 44c | 1,593$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.66 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 1,490$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.54 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 53c | 1,196$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.29 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 901.53$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.78 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 50c | 636.6$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 50c | 604.86$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 3c | 589.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 41c | 340.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 305.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.93 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 159.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 48c | 99.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 89.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 46c | 77.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 50c | 72.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 38.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 56c | 29.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 18.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 69c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen: O/U 2.5this page
- KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen: KÍ O/U 1.5Over won
- KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen: O/U 0.5Over won
- KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen: O/U 1.5Over won
- KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen: O/U 3.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen: O/U 4.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FC Atert Bissen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: KÍ (-1.5)FC Atert Bissen won
- Spread: KÍ (-2.5)FC Atert Bissen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.