College Football · resolved market
UL Monroe vs. Southern Miss
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8114889d5e418494f0b54188256d2f16ba28de9ea42039284bd99f0734e65483
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Missof UL Monroe, Southern Miss
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed UL Monroe | 19c | 210,264$39,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,116.39 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed UL Monroe | 17c | 24,577$4,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,176.86 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UL Monroe | 23c | 17,711$4,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,031.46 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed UL Monroe | 18c | 12,932$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.79 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed UL Monroe | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed UL Monroe | 17c | 7,145$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.6 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed UL Monroe | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Southern Miss | 58c | 2,568$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.49 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed UL Monroe | 20c | 1,676$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.25 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UL Monroe | 20c | 1,396$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.71 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed UL Monroe | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed UL Monroe | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…8d6cbacked UL Monroe | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Southern Miss | 59c | 999.27$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.32 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Southern Miss | 80c | 995.93$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.19 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Southern Miss | 79c | 848$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed UL Monroe | 18c | 799.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked UL Monroe | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed UL Monroe | 17c | 586.77$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked UL Monroe | 2c | 544.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed UL Monroe | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked UL Monroe | 17c | 308.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked UL Monroe | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked UL Monroe | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed UL Monroe | 18c | 226.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked UL Monroe | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…a9d3backed UL Monroe | 20c | 190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UL Monroe | 19c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Southern Miss | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed UL Monroe | 17c | 117.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed UL Monroe | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed UL Monroe | 18c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…5432backed Southern Miss | 79c | 39.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Southern Miss | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UL Monroe vs. Southern Missthis page
- O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Southern Miss (-12.5)Southern Miss won
- Spread: Southern Miss (-13.5)Southern Miss won
- Spread: Southern Miss (-14.5)Southern Miss won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.