TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb92a…607b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$73.39
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$50.03
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$52.84
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$51.5
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$62.46
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$51.2
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$55.25
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$72
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$50.77
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+112.8%+$55.26
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$50.26
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+97.2%+$49.59
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$51.43
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+104.1%+$57.24
Trail Blazers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$52.66
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$90
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$54.2
Stars vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$49.91
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Wild vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Blues vs. Senatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+138.1%+$73.19
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Senators vs. Bluesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$50.92
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$50.26
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$72.82
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$55.2
Lightning vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$113
Red Wings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$104.31
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$132
Red Wings vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$56.35
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$52
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.9
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$117.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$51.43
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+85.2%+$127.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Youngstown State Penguinsbacked Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.