CS2 · resolved market
PGL Bucharest: Complexity vs. G2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0308a81903bfc0a4253e80fa5e9c308fe2475d859d7c43700fb4e4f411573a89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of Complexity, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Complexity | 33c | 2,175$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.61 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c2…6d37backed G2 | 70c | 845$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked G2 | 68c | 777$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked G2 | 68c | 771$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.72 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed4…c14dbacked Complexity | 30c | 450$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccf…b88ebacked G2 | 75c | 386.68$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…bfedbacked Complexity | 32c | 320$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…481ebacked Complexity | 30c | 320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…5ae8backed Complexity | 33c | 297.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Complexity | 30c | 260$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked G2 | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked G2 | 67c | 238.53$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aab…91cfbacked Complexity | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…834bbacked Complexity | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…a356backed Complexity | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8645…dc74backed G2 | 73c | 70.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7d47backed G2 | 71c | 69.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…3edcbacked G2 | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…95fcbacked G2 | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked G2 | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae2…7e82backed G2 | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…b206backed G2 | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6623…789dbacked G2 | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ca…6adfbacked G2 | 75c | 44.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked G2 | 73c | 42.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…5e73backed G2 | 75c | 35.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed G2 | 72c | 32.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…1184backed G2 | 73c | 28.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…d6a2backed G2 | 73c | 28.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…d8b2backed G2 | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.